The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Athletic Bilbao 60.3%
Draw 24.1%
Espanyol 15.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
56%
25.5%
18.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
58%
24.6%
17.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Athletic Bilbao has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)
Espanyol has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Athletic Bilbao than the current prediction. (-2.3%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Espanyol than the current prediction. (+2.3%)
Athletic Bilbao - Espanyol Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Astralaga E. (G) 22. Martinez A. 2. Torre Larranaga M. 4. Bibi 19. Vilarino M. 15. Pinedo C. 6. Oguiza I. 5. Valero M. 12. Facila G. 10. Zugasti P. 11. Azkona A. (C)
1. Salvador R. (G) 35. Domenech A. 18. Garcia Yague R. 21. Guerra J. 5. Vallejo L. (C) 6. Torras M. 12. Bicho 11. Baradad O. 16. Gutierrez P. 7. Lacosta I. 9. Anita
Substitutes
7. Amezaga J. 23. Arana E. 21. Artero M. 8. Campos A. 16. Iribarren 13. Nanclares A. (G) 18. Ortega S. 27. Zaldivar N.
19. Arana P. 22. Browne P. 24. Escot N. 13. Munoz M. (G) 15. Ojeda P. 3. Rodriguez C. 14. Velazquez Jurico A.
Coaches
Martin V.
Monforte S.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
4', 0 - 1, Lacosta I. ⚽, Baradad O. (A),
36', 1 - 1, Azkona A. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Zugasti P. ↓, Amezaga J. ↑,
47', 1 - 2, Vallejo L. ⚽,
50', Bicho 🟨,
62', Facila G. ↓, Zaldivar N. ↑,
62', Azkona A. ↓, Campos A. ↑,
62', Oguiza I. ↓, Ortega S. ↑,
62', Bicho ↓, Velazquez Jurico A. ↑,
70', Lacosta I. ↓, Escot N. ↑,
70', Bibi ↓, Artero M. ↑,
70', Gutierrez P. ↓, Rodriguez C. ↑,
78', Baradad O. ↓, Browne P. ↑,
78', Anita ↓, Arana P. ↑,
87', Pinedo C. (Penalty Awarded),
90', Guerra J. 🟥,
90+3', 2 - 2, Torre Larranaga M. ⚽, Pinedo C. (A),
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Athletic won 4.
Athletic is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Espanyol has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins โ 3).
Recently, the opponents have had a series of home games.
In this match, Athletic is a strong favorite.
In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Athletic won 9 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 24:13. (average 1.6:0.9).
Including home matches between the teams, Athletic won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 11:6. (average 1.6:0.9).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
4
Athletic Bilbao W
6
3
2
1
11:8
3
11
7
Espanyol W
6
2
2
2
9:6
3
8
Last Results with these Odds
Athletic Bilbao - the odds 1.66 are the expected chance of winning is 55.97%, but this team recently wins 64% of matches with these odds.