Match Info

Liga F Women - Round 16

Date: 18 January 2026, Sunday

Location: Estadio Heliodoro Rodríguez López (Santa Cruz de Tenerife)

Referee: Cuesta B. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	DAZN 2 Bar Espana, DAZN 2 Espana, DAZN Espana


	Tenerife		Athletic Bilbao

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.22	3.05	3	Watch
	2.23	3.27	3.17	Watch
	2.15	2.88	3.1
	2.23	3.22	3.22
	2.16	3.1	3.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.2 ↓ (2.23)	3.1 ↓ (3.36)	3.15 ↑ (3.02)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tenerife
41.6%

Draw
29.4%

Athletic Bilbao
29%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.6%

27.6%

30.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.6%

27.6%

30.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The chances for Tenerife have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

Athletic Bilbao has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

The ML Model estimate for Tenerife aligns with the current prediction.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Athletic Bilbao than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

Tenerife - Athletic Bilbao Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Ramos N. (G) 11. Zaremba A. 4. Dembele F. 18. Verges E. 22. Gavira Collado P. (C) 16. Blanco C. 6. Hernandez P. 14. Ramos N. 12. Castello S. 24. Gramaglia P. 7. Ouzraoui Diki S.	1. Santana O. (G) 20. Elexpuru A. 3. Landaluze N. 23. Arana E. 17. Nevado N. (C) 5. Valero M. 14. Banos L. 30. Agote D. 15. Pinedo C. 18. Ortega S. 21. Campos A.
Substitutes
15. Bicho 13. Caceres N. (G) 3. Cinta Rodriguez 20. del Valle M. E. 31. Gosse M. 2. Koko 5. Moreno Y. 19. Perez I. 8. Quiles V.	11. Azkona A. 33. Gurtubay E. 31. Pargaray T. 9. Sanadri 2. Torre Larranaga M. 26. Vega Z. (G) 19. Vilarino M. 27. Zaldivar N. 8. Zubieta M.
Coaches
Yerai M.	Lerga J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
18', 1 - 0, Hernandez P. ⚽, Ouzraoui Diki S. (A),
25', Zaremba A. 🟨,
33', Dembele F. 🟨,
45', Banos L. 🟨,
45+1', Blanco C. 🟨,
2nd Half (4 - 0)
46', Dembele F. ↓, Cinta Rodriguez ↑,
57', Banos L. ↓, Zubieta M. ↑,
57', Campos A. ↓, Azkona A. ↑,
63', Gramaglia P. ↓, Koko ↑,
63', Hernandez P. ↓, Moreno Y. ↑,
65', Zubieta M. 🟨,
68', 2 - 0, Verges E. ⚽,
70', Valero M. ↓, Gurtubay E. ↑,
82', Ouzraoui Diki S. ↓, Quiles V. ↑,
84', Pinedo C. ↓, Sanadri ↑,
85', 3 - 0, Zaremba A. ⚽, Koko (A),
90', Zaremba A. ↓, Perez I. ↑,
90+2', 4 - 0, Koko ⚽, Quiles V. (A),
90+7', 5 - 0, Perez I. ⚽, Quiles V. (A),

Preview

The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 5 and 7)

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tenerife won 1.

In recent matches, Tenerife has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Athletic is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Athletic may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Tenerife might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Tenerife won 10 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 28:25. (average 1.4:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Tenerife won 8 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 21:8. (average 2.1:0.8).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Athletic Bilbao W	6	3	2	1	11:8	3	11
9	Costa Adeje Tenerife W	6	2	2	2	6:11	-5	8

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Tenerife Femenino
Spanish Liga F Women
11.01.26	Deportivo A Coruña - Tenerife	1:1 ✺
Spanish Copa De La Reina
20.12.25	Sevilla - Tenerife	1:2 ✺
Spanish Liga F Women
14.12.25	Tenerife - Logroño United	1:1 ✺
06.12.25	Barcelona - Tenerife	2:0 ✺
23.11.25	Tenerife - Atlético Madrid	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.4 TWTLW
- Athletic Bilbao Women
Spanish Liga F Women
13.01.26	Real Madrid - Athletic Bilbao	0:1 ✺
10.01.26	Athletic Bilbao - Badalona	0:0 ✺
Spanish Copa De La Reina
19.12.25	CE Europa - Athletic Bilbao	0:3 ✺
Spanish Liga F Women
13.12.25	Madrid CFF - Athletic Bilbao	0:2 ✺
07.12.25	Athletic Bilbao - Levante	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 32.5 WTWWW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Liga F Women
30.08.25	Athletic Bilbao - Tenerife	0:0
27.04.25	Athletic Bilbao - Tenerife	2:0
02.11.24	Tenerife - Athletic Bilbao	2:1
24.05.24	Athletic Bilbao - Tenerife	4:1
Spanish Copa De La Reina
07.02.24	Athletic Bilbao - Tenerife	2:1 penalties
Spanish Liga F Women
21.01.24	Tenerife - Athletic Bilbao	1:1
Club Friendly Women
12.08.23	Tenerife - Athletic Bilbao	1:0

Tenerife - Athletic Bilbao: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide