The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Athlone Town 37.4%
Draw 24.8%
Shelbourne 37.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
40.2%
27%
32.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
41.8%
26%
31.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Athlone Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)
Shelbourne has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Athlone Town than the current prediction. (+4.4%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Shelbourne than the current prediction. (-6.3%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Shelbourne, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Athlone Town - Shelbourne Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 3)
9', 0 - 1, Harcourt H. ⚽,
37', 0 - 2, Kavanagh A. ⚽,
42', 0 - 3, Wollmer M. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
90', 1 - 3, Waesch H. ⚽,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Athlone Town won 3.
Athlone Town arrives with excellent momentum after picking up several victories (last 5 matches: 5 wins).
Shelbourne has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.
In the last 19 head-to-head meetings, Athlone Town has recorded 6 wins, 3 draws, and 10 losses, with a goal aggregate of 19:39 (averaging 1:2.1 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Athlone Town against this opponent, the record stands at 4 wins, 2 draws, and 5 losses, with 12:21 goals (averaging 1.1:1.9 per game).
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