Match Info

Segunda RFEF - Group 3 - Round 5

Date: 5 October 2025, Sunday

Location: Estadio Balear (Palma)


	Atlético Baleares		Ibiza Islas Pitiusas

	1	X	2
	1.63	3.3	4.8
	1.55	3.5	5.5
	1.59	3.62	5.92
	1.68	3.32	5.38	Watch
	1.62	3.52	5.58
	1.6	3.4	5.15
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.61 ↓ (1.92)	3.44 ↑ (3.4)	5.39 ↑ (3.81)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Atlético Baleares
56.6%

Draw
26.5%

Ibiza Islas Pitiusas
16.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.3%

27.3%

24.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.7%

27.1%

24.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Atlético Baleares has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Atlético Baleares's performance.

Ibiza Islas Pitiusas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Ibiza Islas Pitiusas might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético Baleares than the current prediction. (-7.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Atlético Baleares that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ibiza Islas Pitiusas than the current prediction. (+7.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Ibiza Islas Pitiusas could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Atlético Baleares - Ibiza Islas Pitiusas Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
65', 1 - 0, Tovar J. ⚽,

Preview

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Baleares may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Baleares is seen as the favorite.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Baleares won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:0. (average 1.5:0).

Including home match between the teams, Baleares won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Atlético Baleares
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 3
28.09.25	Barbastro - Atlético Baleares	0:2 ✺
20.09.25	Atlético Baleares - Sant Andreu	2:4 ✺
14.09.25	Valencia B - Atlético Baleares	0:2 ✺
06.09.25	Atlético Baleares - Castellon B	3:0 ✺
Club Friendly
23.08.25	Alcorcón - Atlético Baleares	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 WLWWL
- Ibiza Islas Pitiusas
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 3
28.09.25	Espanyol B - Ibiza Islas Pitiusas	2:2 ✺
21.09.25	Ibiza Islas Pitiusas - Porreres	1:1 ✺
14.09.25	Olot - Ibiza Islas Pitiusas	1:0 ✺
07.09.25	Ibiza Islas Pitiusas - Terrassa	1:0 ✺
Club Friendly
09.08.25	Ibiza - Ibiza Islas Pitiusas	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 TTLWL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 3
04.05.25	Atlético Baleares - Ibiza Islas Pitiusas	2:0
22.12.24	Ibiza Islas Pitiusas - Atlético Baleares	0:1

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