Match Info

Liga Women - Round 9

Date: 2 May 2026, Saturday

Location: Cancha Marte - UMT (Bucaramanga)


	Atlético Bucaramanga		Real Santander

	1	X	2
	2.72	3	2.42
	2.63	3.34	2.58
	2.53	3.23	2.58	Watch
	2.63	2.8	2.5
	2.72	2.9	2.72	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.65 ↑ (2.63)	3.05 ↑ (3.02)	2.56 ↓ (2.63)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Atlético Bucaramanga
34.5%

Draw
29.9%

Real Santander
35.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.8%

30.3%

34.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.2%

28.9%

36.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Atlético Bucaramanga has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

Real Santander has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético Bucaramanga than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Santander than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

Atlético Bucaramanga - Real Santander Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Quiroga S. (G) 22. Ibarguen L. 4. Alcendra D. 16. Henao A. 14. Gomez V. 8. Rodriguez S. (C) 11. Tobo N. 10. Rojas M. 24. Mantilla T. 9. Padilla Y. 7. Nino B.	12. Acosta A. (G) 7. Cordoba M. (C) 19. Carreno L. 10. Garcia S. 16. Castro P. 6. Grajales W. 13. Martinez Z. 21. Insuasty L. 18. Cano D. 22. Valero D. 9. Caile Y.
Substitutes
17. Candelo L. 6. Cardona I. 3. Gomez L. 21. Gomez M. 1. Montanez A. (G) 23. Ojeda M. 20. Rojas S.	11. Antero N. 24. Aroca V. (G) 8. Badillo V. 14. Castellanos V. 23. Colmenares M. 15. Diaz N. 25. Pineda W. 20. Rodriguez M. 5. Toloza L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
8', Castro P. 🟨,
11', 1 - 0, Ibarguen L. ⚽, Tobo N. (A),
15', Henao A. 🟨,
38', Insuasty L. 🟨,
40', Martinez Z. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Insuasty L. ↓, Rodriguez M. ↑,
46', Henao A. ↓, Ojeda M. ↑,
49', Alcendra D. 🟨,
58', Mantilla T. 🟨,
59', Rodriguez S. ↓, Gomez M. ↑,
63', Carreno L. ↓, Colmenares M. ↑,
63', Cano D. ↓, Antero N. ↑,
68', 2 - 0, Rojas M. ⚽,
71', Nino B. 🟨,
80', Mantilla T. ↓, Rojas S. ↑,
90+2', Padilla Y. ↓, Cardona I. ↑,

Preview

In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 13 and 14).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bucaramanga won 2.

The current form of both teams is below expectations.

Bucaramanga may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Bucaramanga will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Bucaramanga won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 7:7. (average 1:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Bucaramanga won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:4. (average 1.3:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Atlético Bucaramanga Women
Colombian Liga Women
26.04.26	Inter Bogotá - Atlético Bucaramanga	4:0 ✺
12.04.26	Atlético Bucaramanga - Orsomarso	1:1 ✺
30.03.26	Millonarios - Atlético Bucaramanga	6:0 ✺
21.03.26	Atlético Nacional - Atlético Bucaramanga	2:0 ✺
18.03.26	Atlético Bucaramanga - Deportivo Pasto	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.5 LTLLW
- Real Santander Women
Colombian Liga Women
23.04.26	Real Santander - América de Cali	0:1 ✺
12.04.26	Atlético Nacional - Real Santander	5:0 ✺
30.03.26	Real Santander - Llaneros	0:0 ✺
24.03.26	Fortaleza CEIF - Real Santander	0:0 ✺
16.03.26	Real Santander - Inter Palmira	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 LLTTL

Latest Head to Head

Colombian Liga Women
17.02.26	Real Santander - Atlético Bucaramanga	0:0
15.06.25	Atlético Bucaramanga - Real Santander	1:1
26.04.25	Real Santander - Atlético Bucaramanga	0:1
02.04.23	Atlético Bucaramanga - Real Santander	1:1
10.04.22	Atlético Bucaramanga - Real Santander	2:0
11.08.21	Atlético Bucaramanga - Real Santander	1:2
16.07.21	Real Santander - Atlético Bucaramanga	3:1

Atlético Bucaramanga - Real Santander: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide