Match Info

Liga Women - Round 7

Date: 12 April 2026, Sunday

Location: Cancha Marte - UMT (Bucaramanga)


	Atlético Bucaramanga		Orsomarso

	1	X	2
	4.45	3.4	1.68
	4.56	3.44	1.68
	4.54	3.53	1.7	Watch
	4.5	3.2	1.67
	4.69	3.5	1.66
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.55 ↑ (4.44)	3.41 ↓ (3.47)	1.68 ↓ (1.73)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Atlético Bucaramanga
19.8%

Draw
26.4%

Orsomarso
53.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

20.6%

26.4%

53%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21.1%

25.8%

51.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Atlético Bucaramanga has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

Orsomarso has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Bucaramanga than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Orsomarso than the current prediction. (-2.1%)

Atlético Bucaramanga - Orsomarso Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Quiroga S. (G) 19. Palomeque M. 8. Rodriguez S. (C) 16. Henao A. 22. Ibarguen L. 21. Gomez M. 10. Rojas M. 24. Mantilla T. 23. Ojeda M. 7. Nino B. 9. Padilla Y.	1. Agamez D. (G) 18. Hernandez H. 3. Ramos T. 2. Iglesias A. 17. Acevedo L. 23. Goyes V. (C) 5. Lopez M. 25. Aguilar M. 9. Macias P. 10. Sanchez S. 24. Lasso Sanchez B.
Substitutes
18. Beltran M. 17. Candelo L. 2. Gomez E. 1. Montanez A. (G) 20. Rojas S. 13. Sanchez N.	7. Asprilla F. 13. Correa A. 12. Duque M. (G) 11. Mendivelso N. 14. Rivera T. 15. Sanchez A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
8', 1 - 0, Rodriguez S. ⚽,
31', Padilla Y. 🟨,
36', Rojas M. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Macias P. ↓, Asprilla F. ↑,
46', Lopez M. ↓, Mendivelso N. ↑,
54', Aguilar M. 🟨,
74', Mantilla T. ↓, Tobo N. ↑,
74', Palomeque M. ↓, Gomez E. ↑,
77', Lasso Sanchez B. ↓, Sanchez A. ↑,
80', 1 - 1, ⚽,
81', Rojas M. 🟨,
84', Padilla Y. ↓, Candelo L. ↑,
86', Aguilar M. ↓, Rivera T. ↑,
90+1', Sanchez S. ↓, Correa A. ↑,

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 14 and 10).

Bucaramanga is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

In recent matches, Orsomarso has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, Orsomarso is a strong favorite.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Bucaramanga won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1. (average 0.5:0.5).

Including home match between the teams, Bucaramanga won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Atlético Bucaramanga Women
Colombian Liga Women
30.03.26	Millonarios - Atlético Bucaramanga	6:0 ✺
21.03.26	Atlético Nacional - Atlético Bucaramanga	2:0 ✺
18.03.26	Atlético Bucaramanga - Deportivo Pasto	3:1 ✺
09.03.26	Independiente Santa Fe - Atlético Bucaramanga	5:0 ✺
21.02.26	Atlético Bucaramanga - América de Cali	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.1 LLWLL
- Orsomarso SC Women
Colombian Liga Women
29.03.26	Orsomarso - Fortaleza CEIF	1:1 ✺
15.03.26	Orsomarso - Independiente Santa Fe	1:0 ✺
10.03.26	América de Cali - Orsomarso	1:0 ✺
01.03.26	Orsomarso - Deportivo Cali	1:1 ✺
16.02.26	Millonarios - Orsomarso	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.4 TWLTL

Latest Head to Head

Colombian Liga Women
17.05.25	Atlético Bucaramanga - Orsomarso	1:1
13.04.22	Orsomarso - Atlético Bucaramanga	0:0

Atlético Bucaramanga - Orsomarso: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide