Match Info
BRAZIL: Serie D - Round 9Date: 16 June 2024, SundayLocation: Domingão (Horizonte)
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Atlético Cearense |
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Sousa |
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1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
2.4 |
2.87 |
2.75 |
|
 |
2.45 |
2.95 |
2.85 |
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 |
2.35 |
2.79 |
2.84 |
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2.35 |
2.79 |
2.84 |
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2.4 |
2.93 |
2.96 |
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 |
2.45 |
2.95 |
2.85 |
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Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.4 ↓
(3.4) |
2.88 ↓
(3.2) |
2.85 ↑
(2.04) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
- The best margin for this event is 9.6%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Atlético Cearense
37.4% | Draw
31.1% | Sousa
31.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Atlético Cearense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.6%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Atlético Cearense's performance.Sousa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.2%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Sousa might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético Cearense than the current prediction. (-10.8%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Atlético Cearense that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sousa than the current prediction. (+13.5%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Sousa could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.Atlético Cearense - Sousa Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 8', 1 - 0, Ari ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 61', 2 - 0, Alan ⚽,
Preview
Teams from a mid-table will play this time (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D (Play Offs: 1/16~finals) and 6). Atlético Cearense is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4). Recent matches Sousa is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2). Atlético Cearense could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days. Sousa will have a small advantage in this match.
Last 5 head-to-head matches Atlético Cearense won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 8-8. Including matches at home between the teams Atlético Cearense won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-2.
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Brazilian Serie D | | | 02.06.24 | Sousa - Atlético Cearense | 2:3 | | 20.08.23 | Sousa - Atlético Cearense | 2:1 | | 12.08.23 | Atlético Cearense - Sousa | 1:2 | | 05.09.21 | Atlético Cearense - Sousa | 2:0 | | 05.06.21 | Sousa - Atlético Cearense | 2:1 |
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