Match Info

Serie D - Round 10

Date: 14 June 2026, Sunday

Location: Estadio Antonio Mariz (Marizao) (Sousa)


	Sousa		América RN

	1	X	2
	3.00	2.65	2.40
	3.80	2.90	1.98
	3.28	2.78	2.45
	3.52	2.4	2.59
	3.10	2.60	2.38
	3.34	2.82	2.41
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.34 ↓ (3.97)	2.69 ↓ (2.9)	2.37 ↑ (2.02)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Sousa
27.4%

Draw
34%

América RN
38.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

23.1%

31.6%

45.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

22.9%

31.3%

45.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sousa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)

América RN has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and América RN might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sousa than the current prediction. (-4.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for América RN than the current prediction. (+7.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that América RN could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Sousa - América RN Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Sousa will win (votes: 4 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DNB - Sousa (2.22) (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Sousa (votes: 3 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
29', 0 - 1, Charles (Penalty Awarded),
45+4', 0 - 2, Matheus Regis ⚽, Alisson Taddei (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
50', Everton Heleno (Penalty Awarded),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sousa won 1.

Recent performances by Sousa have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

América RN is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

América RN may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

América RN could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Sousa won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 7 matches, and goals 4:15. (average 0.4:1.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Sousa won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:4. (average 0.5:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sousa
Brazilian Serie D
01.06.26	Maguary - Sousa	2:0 ✺
23.05.26	Sousa - Central SC	0:0 ✺
16.05.26	ABC - Sousa	2:0 ✺
10.05.26	Laguna - Sousa	0:1 ✺
03.05.26	Sousa - Laguna	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 LTLWW
- América RN
Brazilian Serie D
29.05.26	América RN - Central SC	1:0 ✺
24.05.26	ABC - América RN	1:1 ✺
17.05.26	América RN - Laguna	5:0 ✺
10.05.26	Maguary - América RN	0:0 ✺
03.05.26	América RN - Maguary	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 WTWTT

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie D
04.04.26	América RN - Sousa	2:0
11.06.25	Sousa - América RN	1:0
01.06.25	América RN - Sousa	2:0
27.06.24	América RN - Sousa	1:0
26.05.24	Sousa - América RN	0:0
16.07.22	Sousa - América RN	1:2
17.04.22	América RN - Sousa	2:1

Sousa - América RN: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide