The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Atlético El Vigía 48.8%
Draw 26.7%
Real Fronteras 24.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
47.3%
26.6%
26.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
50.3%
25%
24.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Atlético El Vigía has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)
Real Fronteras has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético El Vigía than the current prediction. (+1.5%)
The ML Model estimate for Real Fronteras aligns with the current prediction.
Atlético El Vigía - Real Fronteras Predictions
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. El Vigía (votes: 1 - 100%).
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
AH -1 - El Vigía (2.21) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. El Vigía (votes: 2 - 100%).
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (3 - 1)
73', 1 - 0, ⚽,
85', 2 - 0, ⚽,
87', 2 - 1, ⚽,
90+1', 3 - 1, ⚽,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, El Vigía won 2.
El Vigía has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
Real Fronteras is on a prolonged losing streak (last 5 matches: 0 wins).
Real Fronteras may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
Bookmakers give the edge to El Vigía for this game.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, El Vigía has recorded 8 wins, 3 draws, and 9 losses, with a goal aggregate of 29:30 (averaging 1.5:1.5 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for El Vigía against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 2 draws, and 5 losses, with 10:13 goals (averaging 1.3:1.6 per game).