Match Info

Liga F Women - Round 27

Date: 3 May 2026, Sunday

Location: Centro Deportivo Wanda Alcalá de Henares (Madrid)

Referee: Cuesta B. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	DAZN
Austria	DAZN
Bolivia	DAZN
Brazil	DAZN Brasil
Canada	DAZN Canada
Ecuador	DAZN
France	DAZN France
Germany	DAZN Deutsch
New-zealand	DAZN New Zealand
Paraguay	DAZN
Portugal	DAZN / App
Spain	DAZN 1 Espana, DAZN Espana, Movistar+ Vamos Bar 1
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland
Uruguay	DAZN
Usa	DAZN USA
Venezuela	DAZN


	Atlético Madrid		Eibar

	1	X	2
	1.31	4.75	7.5
	1.25	5.15	8.6
	1.28	5.35	9.4
	1.3	5.24	9.35	Watch
	1.25	4.75	9
	1.3	5.02	10
	1.32	4.35	7.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.29 ↓ (1.32)	4.94 ↑ (4.35)	8.76 ↑ (7.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Atlético Madrid
71.1%

Draw
18.5%

Eibar
10.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

67.6%

20.5%

11.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

72.8%

19%

11.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Atlético Madrid has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)

Eibar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Madrid than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Eibar than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

Atlético Madrid - Eibar Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Lola (C) 4. Lauren Leal 5. Perez X. 3. Medina A. 23. Alexia 12. Kuhl K. 6. Boe Risa V. 21. Iannuzzi F. 14. Otermin R. 7. Jensen S. 16. Chinchilla P.	1. Astralaga E. (G) 11. Camino 5. Ojeda P. 12. Belem A. 4. Andres C. (C) 3. Facila G. 14. Lacosta I. 8. Iribarren 18. Rico Torres A. 23. Moreno E. 16. Alvarez C.
Substitutes
17. Bartel J. 18. Gio Garbelini 9. Guijarro S. 13. Larque P. (G) 22. Luany 27. Martin N. 11. Menayo C. 19. Portales Nieto M. 41. Rodriguez L.	22. Clement Tukumbuke O. 6. Etxezarreta A. 32. Extebeste Z. (G) 30. Guezala U. 28. Lopez M. 19. Martin S. 21. Uranga 10. Valej E.
Coaches
Herrera J.	Goikoetxea I.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (4 - 0)
55', Camino 🟨,
56', Otermin R. ↓, Luany ↑,
56', Chinchilla P. ↓, Gio Garbelini ↑,
61', 1 - 0, Gio Garbelini ⚽,
65', Kuhl K. ↓, Bartel J. ↑,
70', Camino ↓, Martin S. ↑,
71', 2 - 0, Boe Risa V. (Penalty Awarded),
77', Boe Risa V. ↓, Martin N. ↑,
77', Lauren Leal ↓, Menayo C. ↑,
80', Alvarez C. ↓, Clement Tukumbuke O. ↑,
85', 3 - 0, Bartel J. ⚽, Luany (A),
90+3', 4 - 0, Gio Garbelini ⚽,

Preview

This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 5 and 13).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Atlético Madrid won 2.

Atlético Madrid is currently enjoying a strong run with several victories in a row (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Eibar is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Recently, Atlético Madrid has had a series of away games.

In this match, Atlético Madrid is the clear favorite.

We predict that Atlético Madrid will win today's game, with odds of 1.34.

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Atlético Madrid won 6 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 18:6. (average 2:0.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Atlético Madrid won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 9:3. (average 2.3:0.8).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Eibar W	6	3	2	1	4:4	0	11
6	Atl. Madrid W	6	3	0	3	10:11	-1	9

Last Results with these Odds

Atlético Madrid - the odds 1.32 are the expected chance of winning is 67.59%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Atlético Madrid Féminas
Spanish Liga F Women
25.04.26	Badalona - Atlético Madrid	2:4 ✺
05.04.26	Atlético Madrid - Deportivo A Coruña	2:0 ✺
29.03.26	Athletic Bilbao - Atlético Madrid	1:2 ✺
22.03.26	Alhama - Atlético Madrid	1:2 ✺
Spanish Copa De La Reina
17.03.26	Tenerife - Atlético Madrid	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 WWWWW
- SD Eibar Women
Spanish Liga F Women
25.04.26	Eibar - Levante	2:1 ✺
03.04.26	Eibar - Tenerife	0:0 ✺
28.03.26	Deportivo A Coruña - Eibar	2:1 ✺
22.03.26	Eibar - Real Madrid	0:1 ✺
16.03.26	Espanyol - Eibar	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 WTLLL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Liga F Women
14.12.25	Eibar - Atlético Madrid	2:2
11.05.25	Eibar - Atlético Madrid	0:2
24.11.24	Atlético Madrid - Eibar	1:1
24.03.24	Eibar - Atlético Madrid	1:1
11.11.23	Atlético Madrid - Eibar	3:0
08.05.22	Atlético Madrid - Eibar	3:1
21.11.21	Eibar - Atlético Madrid	0:3

Atlético Madrid - Eibar: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide