The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Badalona 22.5%
Draw 24.8%
Atlético Madrid 52.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
24.4%
27%
48.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
23.9%
26.5%
49.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Badalona has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)
Atlético Madrid has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Badalona than the current prediction. (+1.4%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético Madrid than the current prediction. (-3.1%)
Badalona - Atlético Madrid Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
26. Abdon C. (G) 16. Pinillos I. 40. Carmona N. 20. Gonzalez Rosa A. 4. Majarin S. (C) 10. Banini E. 6. Llompart Pons M. 19. Navarro L. 11. Julve E. 18. Chamorro Gomez L. F. 7. Uribe I.
1. Lola (C) 5. Perez X. 11. Menayo C. 3. Medina A. 23. Alexia 6. Boe Risa V. 27. Martin N. 21. Iannuzzi F. 14. Otermin R. 16. Chinchilla P. 7. Jensen S.
Substitutes
29. Abdon Naval L. 21. Barclais C. 23. Cubedo C. 8. Jankovska S. 14. Kullashi L. 32. Malagelada N. (G) 17. Sanchez P.
17. Bartel J. 18. Gio Garbelini 9. Guijarro S. 12. Kuhl K. 13. Larque P. (G) 22. Luany 19. Portales Nieto M. 41. Rodriguez L.
Coaches
Ballester M.
Herrera J.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 2)
7', 0 - 1, Chinchilla P. ⚽, Alexia (A),
24', 0 - 2, Chinchilla P. ⚽, Otermin R. (A),
37', 1 - 2, Pinillos I. ⚽, Julve E. (A),
45', Iannuzzi F. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
46', Carmona N. ↓, Barclais C. ↑,
51', Llompart Pons M. 🟨,
60', 2 - 2, Uribe I. ⚽, Pinillos I. (A),
66', Menayo C. ↓, Rodriguez L. ↑,
66', Otermin R. ↓, Portales Nieto M. ↑,
73', Llompart Pons M. ↓, Cubedo C. ↑,
76', Jensen S. 🟨,
81', Jensen S. ↓, Luany ↑,
81', Boe Risa V. ↓, Bartel J. ↑,
84', 2 - 3, Bartel J. ⚽, Luany (A),
87', Julve E. ↓, Sanchez P. ↑,
87', Navarro L. ↓, Jankovska S. ↑,
90+1', 2 - 4, Luany ⚽, Iannuzzi F. (A),
90+2', Banini E. ↓, Kullashi L. ↑,
90+2', Chinchilla P. ↓, Guijarro S. ↑,
Preview
Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 8 and 5).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Badalona won 0.
In recent matches, Badalona has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Atlético Madrid is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 5 wins).
In this match, Atlético Madrid is seen as the favorite.
In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Badalona won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 5:15. (average 0.6:1.9).
Including home matches between the teams, Badalona won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:5. (average 0.8:1.3).