Match Info

Serie D - Round 13

Date: 19 July 2025, Saturday

Location: Estádio Otacília Patrício Arroyo (Monte Azul Paulista)


	Atlético Monte Azul		Operário MS

	1	X	2
	1.62	3.6	4.5
	1.88	3.05	3.95
	1.87	3.01	4.17
	1.71	3.43	4.91	Watch
	1.82	3.04	4.54
	1.64	3.65	4.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.76 ↑ (1.56)	3.3 ↓ (3.7)	4.45 ↓ (4.9)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Atlético Monte Azul
51.9%

Draw
27.6%

Operário MS
20.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.5%

24.2%

18.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.3%

23.7%

18.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Atlético Monte Azul has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Atlético Monte Azul's form might have worsened.

Operário MS has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Monte Azul than the current prediction. (+4.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Operário MS than the current prediction. (-1.8%)

Atlético Monte Azul - Operário MS Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 2)
63', 1 - 0, Pedoca (Pen),
80', 1 - 1, Henrique ⚽,
82', 🟥,
90+2', 1 - 2, Sampaio ⚽,

Preview

The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 6 and 7)

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Operário MS may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Monte Azul is a strong favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Monte Azul won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Atlético Monte Azul
Brazilian Copa Paulista
16.07.25	Atlético Monte Azul - Grêmio Prudente	1:1 ✺
Brazilian Serie D
12.07.25	Atlético Monte Azul - Internacional de Limeira	0:1 ✺
Brazilian Copa Paulista
09.07.25	Atlético Monte Azul - EC Noroeste	1:0 ✺
Brazilian Serie D
05.07.25	Cianorte - Atlético Monte Azul	2:0 ✺
28.06.25	FC Cascavel - Atlético Monte Azul	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.4 TLWLT
- Operário MS
Brazilian Serie D
12.07.25	Operário MS - Uberlândia	1:1 ✺
06.07.25	Itabirito - Operário MS	1:1 ✺
28.06.25	Operário MS - Goiatuba	2:1 ✺
14.06.25	Operário MS - FC Cascavel	0:0 ✺
07.06.25	Internacional de Limeira - Operário MS	5:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.3 TTWTL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie D
26.04.25	Operário MS - Atlético Monte Azul	1:1

Atlético Monte Azul - Operário MS: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide