Match Info

Serie D - Round 11

Date: 6 July 2025, Sunday


	Itabirito		Operário MS

	1	X	2
	1.58	3.6	4.95
	1.58	3.6	5.2
				Watch
	1.61	3.54	5.12
	2	3.2	3.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.69 ↑ (1.44)	3.49 ↓ (4)	4.74 ↓ (5.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Itabirito
54.3%

Draw
26.4%

Operário MS
19.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.2%

22.4%

15.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64.2%

21.7%

14.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Itabirito has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Itabirito's form might have worsened.

Operário MS has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Itabirito than the current prediction. (+9.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Itabirito, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Operário MS than the current prediction. (-4.5%)

Itabirito - Operário MS Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
40', 0 - 1, Matheus Bidick ⚽,
45+2', 1 - 1, Patric ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 8 and 7).

Both teams are currently in poor form.

Itabirito could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Itabirito won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Itabirito FC
Brazilian Serie D
28.06.25	Uberlândia - Itabirito	4:0 ✺
15.06.25	Itabirito - Internacional de Limeira	0:0 ✺
07.06.25	FC Cascavel - Itabirito	1:1 ✺
31.05.25	Itabirito - FC Cascavel	1:1 ✺
24.05.25	Internacional de Limeira - Itabirito	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 LTTTL
- Operário MS
Brazilian Serie D
28.06.25	Operário MS - Goiatuba	2:1 ✺
14.06.25	Operário MS - FC Cascavel	0:0 ✺
07.06.25	Internacional de Limeira - Operário MS	5:1 ✺
31.05.25	Operário MS - Internacional de Limeira	0:1 ✺
24.05.25	FC Cascavel - Operário MS	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 WTLLL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie D
10.05.25	Operário MS - Itabirito	1:1

Itabirito - Operário MS: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide