Match Info

Date: 22 April 2021, Thursday


	Atlético Monte Azul		Portuguesa

	1	X	2
	3.8	2.95	1.95
	3.6	2.8	2.1
	3.6	3.3	1.89
	4.35	3.17	1.99
	3.75	3	2
	3.74	3.2	1.97
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.81 ↑ (2.56)	3.07 ↑ (3.06)	1.98 ↓ (2.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Atlético Monte Azul
24%

Draw
29.8%

Portuguesa
46.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.9%

30%

34%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.1%

21.1%

23.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Atlético Monte Azul has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Atlético Monte Azul's form might have worsened.

Portuguesa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Portuguesa's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Monte Azul than the current prediction. (+27.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Atlético Monte Azul, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Portuguesa than the current prediction. (-22.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Portuguesa, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Atlético Monte Azul - Portuguesa Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

A game will be played between two neighbours in a tournament table (ranked 11 and 13).

Two teams are in a poor body shape now.

Portuguesa will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Atlético Monte Azul won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Atlético Monte Azul
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A2
20.04.21	EC São Bernardo - Atlético Monte Azul	2:1 ✺
14.03.21	Atlético Monte Azul - Osasco Sporting	0:1 ✺
10.03.21	CA Juventus - Atlético Monte Azul	0:0 ✺
07.03.21	Atlético Monte Azul - Sertãozinho	3:2 ✺
27.02.21	Lemense FC - Atlético Monte Azul	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 LLTWL
- Portuguesa SP
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A2
20.04.21	Portuguesa - São Bernardo	1:1 ✺
13.03.21	Piracicaba - Portuguesa	2:1 ✺
10.03.21	Portuguesa - Água Santa	0:3 ✺
06.03.21	Portuguesa - Lemense FC	1:1 ✺
01.03.21	Portuguesa Santista - Portuguesa	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.1 TLLTT

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A2
16.02.20	Portuguesa - Atlético Monte Azul	2:0

Atlético Monte Azul - Portuguesa: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide