Match Info
Serie D - Round 7Date: 16 May 2026, SaturdayLocation: Estadio do Caninde (Sao Paulo)
|
 |
|
 |
|
|
Portuguesa |
|
Água Santa |
|
|
1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
1.56 |
3.95 |
5.76 |
|
 |
1.59 |
3.46 |
5.93 |
 Watch |
 |
1.53 |
3.3 |
5.5 |
|
 |
1.58 |
3.69 |
6.05 |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.57 ↑
(1.43) |
3.6 ↓
(3.78) |
5.81 ↓
(7.3) |
|
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
- The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Portuguesa
58.7% | Draw
25.5% | Água Santa
15.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Portuguesa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)Água Santa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Portuguesa than the current prediction. (+7.1%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Portuguesa, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Água Santa than the current prediction. (-3.8%)Portuguesa - Água Santa Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Portuguesa won 2.Portuguesa is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).Água Santa has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2). In this match, Portuguesa is considered a favorite.In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Portuguesa won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 11:16. (average 0.8:1.2).Including home matches between the teams, Portuguesa won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 4:10. (average 0.7:1.7).
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
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