Match Info

Segunda RFEF - Group 5 - Round 30

Date: 6 April 2025, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	CMM TV, Footballclub


	Atlético Paso		Getafe B

	1	X	2
	4.33	3.1	1.8
	4.2	3.1	1.78
	4.2	3.2	1.83
	4.26	3.32	1.81	Watch
	4.52	3.3	1.79
	4.2	3.2	1.83
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.29 ↑ (3.25)	3.2 ↑ (2.93)	1.81 ↓ (2.22)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 8.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Atlético Paso
21.2%

Draw
28.4%

Getafe B
50.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28%

31%

41%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.8%

29.6%

42.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Atlético Paso has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Atlético Paso's form might have worsened.

Getafe B has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Getafe B's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Paso than the current prediction. (+5.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Atlético Paso, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Getafe B than the current prediction. (-7.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Getafe B, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Atlético Paso - Getafe B Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Atlético Paso (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
22', 1 - 0, Armiche ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
70', 1 - 1, Calcada G. ⚽,
75', 1 - 2, Keita A. ⚽,
81', 2 - 2, Revuelta A. ⚽,

Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and an outsider (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Segunda RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs).

Atlético Paso is Relegated to

Recent matches Atlético Paso is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Getafe B is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Getafe B is a favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Atlético Paso won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1:1 (average 0.3:0.3).

Including matches at home between the teams Atlético Paso won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1:0

Last Results with these Odds

Atlético Paso - the odds 3.25 are the expected chance of winning is 27.98%, but this team recently wins 0% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Atlético Paso
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
30.03.25	Navalcarnero - Atlético Paso	1:0 ✺
23.03.25	Atlético Paso - Coria	0:0 ✺
16.03.25	Illescas - Atlético Paso	2:1 ✺
09.03.25	Atlético Paso - Conquense	1:0 ✺
01.03.25	Rayo Majadahonda - Atlético Paso	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.6 LTLWT
- Getafe B
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
30.03.25	Getafe B - Colonia Moscardó	1:1 ✺
23.03.25	Móstoles URJC - Getafe B	2:0 ✺
16.03.25	Tenerife B - Getafe B	1:3 ✺
09.03.25	Getafe B - Navalcarnero	0:1 ✺
02.03.25	Coria - Getafe B	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 TLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
24.11.24	Getafe B - Atlético Paso	1:0
25.02.24	Getafe B - Atlético Paso	0:0
15.10.23	Atlético Paso - Getafe B	1:0

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