The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Atlético Saguntino 47.2%
Draw 32.9%
Torrellano 20%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
42.7%
30.2%
27.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
43.7%
30.9%
26.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Atlético Saguntino has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)
Torrellano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.1%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Torrellano might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético Saguntino than the current prediction. (-3.5%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Torrellano than the current prediction. (+6.5%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Torrellano could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Atlético Saguntino - Torrellano Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
18', 0 - 1, Caler F. ⚽,
20', 1 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
75', 2 - 1, ⚽,
Preview
One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 6 (Play Offs: ) and 6).
Recent form of Saguntino has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
In recent matches, Torrellano has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
Torrellano may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Saguntino is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Saguntino won 0 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:6. (average 0.6:1.2).
Including home matches between the teams, Saguntino won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1. (average 0.5:0.5).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
8
Saguntino
5
2
1
2
7:7
0
7
18
Torrellano
5
0
1
4
3:10
-7
1
Last Results with these Odds
Atlético Saguntino - the odds 2.12 are the expected chance of winning is 42.71%, but this team recently wins 71% of matches with these odds.