Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 6 - Round 14

Date: 14 January 2026, Wednesday


	Alzira		Atlético Saguntino

	1	X	2
	3.5	2.98	2.05
	3.43	3	2.2
	3.58	3.06	2.11	Watch
	3.6	2.9	2
	3.79	2.96	2
	3.75	2.9	2.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.61 ↑ (3.15)	2.97 ↑ (2.88)	2.07 ↓ (2.29)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.50

The best margin for this event is 7.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alzira
25.2%

Draw
30.7%

Atlético Saguntino
44%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.8%

31.6%

39.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.1%

30.8%

40.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alzira has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)

Atlético Saguntino has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alzira than the current prediction. (+2.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético Saguntino than the current prediction. (-3.4%)

Alzira - Atlético Saguntino Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 14 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 6 (Play Offs: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Alzira won 2.

Alzira is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Saguntino is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Alzira may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Saguntino will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Alzira won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 6:7. (average 0.8:0.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Alzira won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:5. (average 0.8:1.3).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
8	Saguntino	5	2	1	2	7:7	0	7

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UD Alzira
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 6
10.01.26	Alzira - Buñol	1:1 ✺
04.01.26	Utiel - Alzira	1:1 ✺
20.12.25	Alzira - Vall de Uxó	0:1 ✺
07.12.25	Español de San Vicente - Alzira	0:1 ✺
23.11.25	Alzira - Roda	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.2 TTLWL
- Atlético Saguntino
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 6
11.01.26	Hércules B - Atlético Saguntino	0:2 ✺
04.01.26	Atlético Saguntino - Vall de Uxó	2:0 ✺
20.12.25	Atlético Saguntino - Castellonense	0:0 ✺
06.12.25	Atlético Saguntino - Ontinyent 1931	0:1 ✺
22.11.25	Español de San Vicente - Atlético Saguntino	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 WWTLW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 3
28.04.24	Atlético Saguntino - Alzira	0:2
16.12.23	Alzira - Atlético Saguntino	2:1
22.04.23	Atlético Saguntino - Alzira	1:0
11.12.22	Alzira - Atlético Saguntino	0:0
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 6
07.03.21	Atlético Saguntino - Alzira	1:1
15.03.19	Atlético Saguntino - Alzira	0:0
28.10.18	Alzira - Atlético Saguntino	0:2

Alzira - Atlético Saguntino: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide