Match Info

Liga MX Women - Clausura - Round 11

Date: 11 March 2026, Wednesday

Location: Estadio Alfonso Lastras (San Luis Potosí)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Disney+
Brazil	Disney+
Mexico	Disney+, ESPN 4
North-central-america	Disney+ Caribbean
Peru	Disney+
Uruguay	Disney+
Venezuela	Disney+


	Atlético San Luis		Puebla

	1	X	2
	1.25	5.3	8.3
	1.32	5.5	9.17
	1.27	5.64	9.65	Watch
	1.25	4.8	8.5
	1.29	4.8	8.45	Watch
	1.37	4.36	6.59
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.29 ↓ (1.41)	5.07 ↑ (4.43)	8.44 ↑ (5.99)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Atlético San Luis
71%

Draw
18.1%

Puebla
10.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64.4%

20.5%

15.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67.5%

19.6%

14.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Atlético San Luis has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Atlético San Luis's performance.

Puebla has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético San Luis than the current prediction. (-3.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Puebla than the current prediction. (+3.5%)

Atlético San Luis - Puebla Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
23. Bustos D. (G) 28. Arevalo S. 21. Bello A. 19. Caicedo F. 31. Caldera A. 17. Contreras R. 25. Gomez F. 10. Gonzalez Diaz Barreiro S. 5. Hernandez C. 27. Hernandez-Represa E. 9. Higuera E.	19. Perez P. (G) 31. Campa M. 26. De Alba L. 6. Fernandez L. 3. Garcia M. 15. Gonzalez J. 14. Lopez A. 4. Nevarez D. 8. Oviedo A. J. 33. Rosales Miranda F. 21. Villegas Aguilar R. I.
Substitutes
4. Cano Garcia K. L. 20. Garcia Munoz K. V. 15. Hernandez I. 12. Herrera A. 11. Kasis I. 7. Lopez V. 8. Sanchez M. 30. Singarella C. 13. Suarez A. 1. Zarate A. (G)	75. Acosta Morales M. D. (G) 13. Esperanza Rosas Aguirre J. 52. Hernandez C. 27. Moron V. 11. Samano Z. 70. Sandoval N. 2. Vivanco Escamilla S. X.
Coaches
Quintana I.	Morales C.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
9', 1 - 0, Higuera E. ⚽,
11', 2 - 0, Higuera E. ⚽,
28', Hernandez-Represa E. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
47', Nevarez D. 🟨,
55', Gomez F. 🟨,
60', 🟨,
60', Hernandez-Represa E. 🟨,
61', Hernandez-Represa E. 🟨,
63', Caldera A. ↓, Suarez A. ↑,
63', Higuera E. ↓, Lopez V. ↑,
66', Oviedo A. J. ↓, Vivanco Escamilla S. X. ↑,
74', Nevarez D. ↓, Esperanza Rosas Aguirre J. ↑,
74', 🟨,
76', Bello A. ↓, Herrera A. ↑,
76', Gonzalez Diaz Barreiro S. ↓, Sanchez M. ↑,
89', Lopez A. ↓, Moron V. ↑,
89', Villegas Aguilar R. I. ↓, Hernandez C. ↑,
89', Campa M. ↓, Samano Z. ↑,
90', Arevalo S. ↓, Kasis I. ↑,

Preview

A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 16 and 13).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Atlético San Luis won 2.

Atlético San Luis is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Puebla's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, Atlético San Luis is seen as the favorite.

In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Atlético San Luis won 5 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 25:19. (average 1.9:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Atlético San Luis won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 11:5. (average 1.8:0.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Atlético San Luis Women
Mexican Liga MX Women
21.02.26	Monterrey - Atlético San Luis	6:0 ✺
16.02.26	Atlético San Luis - Querétaro	4:1 ✺
10.02.26	Atlético San Luis - Pachuca	0:3 ✺
04.02.26	Toluca - Atlético San Luis	4:0 ✺
30.01.26	Atlas - Atlético San Luis	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 LWLLT
- Puebla FC Women
Mexican Liga MX Women
22.02.26	Puebla - Mazatlan	1:2 ✺
16.02.26	Club León - Puebla	6:0 ✺
13.02.26	Tigres UANL - Puebla	4:0 ✺
10.02.26	Puebla - Atlas	2:1 ✺
06.02.26	Puebla - Santos Laguna	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.3 LLLWW

Latest Head to Head

Mexican Liga MX Women
31.08.25	Puebla - Atlético San Luis	0:6
17.04.25	Atlético San Luis - Puebla	1:0
01.09.24	Puebla - Atlético San Luis	2:2
28.04.24	Atlético San Luis - Puebla	2:2
03.09.23	Puebla - Atlético San Luis	2:2
23.04.23	Atlético San Luis - Puebla	2:1
28.07.22	Puebla - Atlético San Luis	6:2

Atlético San Luis - Puebla: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide