Match Info

Liga MX Women - Clausura - Round 6

Date: 30 January 2026, Friday

Location: Estadio Colomos (Zapopan)

Referee: Sanchez C. (Mex)

Where to Watch on TV:


Mexico	FOX One


	Atlas		Atlético San Luis

	1	X	2
	1.98	3.45	3.15
	2.11	3.7	3.11
	1.98	3.63	3.46	Watch
	2.05	3.3	2.9
	2.11	3.58	3.16
	2.08	3.6	3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.05 ↑ (1.66)	3.54 ↓ (3.76)	3.13 ↓ (4.28)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Atlas
44.8%

Draw
25.9%

Atlético San Luis
29.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.7%

24.1%

21.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.2%

23.5%

20.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Atlas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Atlas's form might have worsened.

Atlético San Luis has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Atlético San Luis's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlas than the current prediction. (+11.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Atlas, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético San Luis than the current prediction. (-8.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Atlético San Luis, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Atlas - Atlético San Luis Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Atlas (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -0.75 - Atlas (2.21) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Atlas (votes: 4 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Vazquez C. (G) 6. Acevedo V. 11. Ceren B. 2. Delgado D. (C) 7. Flores K. 20. Garcia J. 18. Lara A. 13. Maldonado M. 9. Munoz S. 5. Sainz M. 15. Villalobos N.	1. Zarate A. (G) 21. Bello A. 19. Caicedo F. 14. Flores M. 25. Gomez F. 5. Hernandez C. 27. Hernandez-Represa E. (C) 12. Herrera A. 9. Higuera E. 7. Lopez V. 13. Suarez A.
Substitutes
33. Aguilar N. 1. Contreras K. (G) 16. Hernandez L. 14. Huerta R. F. T. 4. Jasso I. 17. Lopez A. 56. Lopez K. 25. Meza D. 22. Nalukenge J. 23. Penuna V.	28. Arevalo S. 23. Bustos D. (G) 4. Cano Garcia K. L. 24. Galicia K. 2. Gonzalez Diaz A. 10. Gonzalez Diaz Barreiro S. 26. Lopez A. 8. Sanchez M. 30. Singarella C.
Coaches
Alfaro J.	Quintana I.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
6', 1 - 0, Ceren B. (Penalty Awarded),
15', 1 - 1, Flores M. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Lara A. ↓, Meza D. ↑,
46', Acevedo V. ↓, Lopez A. ↑,
46', Garcia J. ↓, Huerta R. F. T. ↑,
56', Herrera A. ↓, Sanchez M. ↑,
61', Flores K. ↓, Nalukenge J. ↑,
63', Maldonado M. 🟨,
70', Lopez A. 🟨,
71', Hernandez C. ↓, Arevalo S. ↑,
71', Flores M. ↓, Singarella C. ↑,
72', Gomez F. 🟨,
76', 2 - 1, Ceren B. ⚽,
76', Villalobos N. ↓, Penuna V. ↑,
81', 🟨,
88', Singarella C. 🟨,
90+3', 2 - 2, Galicia K. ⚽,

Preview

In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 15 and 14).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Atlas won 3.

Neither of the teams could find their winning rhythm in recent games.

In this match, Atlas is seen as the favorite.

In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Atlas won 6 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 23:13. (average 1.9:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Atlas won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 10:6. (average 2:1.2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Club Atlas Women
Mexican Liga MX Women
24.01.26	Tigres UANL - Atlas	3:1 ✺
21.01.26	Mazatlan - Atlas	1:1 ✺
16.01.26	Atlas - Tijuana	1:2 ✺
12.01.26	Toluca - Atlas	2:0 ✺
06.01.26	Atlas - Pachuca	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LTLLL
- Atlético San Luis Women
Mexican Liga MX Women
24.01.26	Atlético San Luis - Tijuana	2:3 ✺
20.01.26	Atlético San Luis - Club America	0:2 ✺
16.01.26	Juárez - Atlético San Luis	1:0 ✺
09.01.26	Atlético San Luis - UNAM	1:1 ✺
04.01.26	Chivas Guadalajara - Atlético San Luis	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 LLLTL

Latest Head to Head

Mexican Liga MX Women
12.08.25	Atlético San Luis - Atlas	0:0
30.03.25	Atlético San Luis - Atlas	0:4
27.09.24	Atlas - Atlético San Luis	3:0
18.03.24	Atlético San Luis - Atlas	0:0
07.09.23	Atlas - Atlético San Luis	2:1
29.01.23	Atlético San Luis - Atlas	5:1
17.09.22	Atlas - Atlético San Luis	2:3

Atlas - Atlético San Luis: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide