Match Info
LDF - Round 11Date: 26 October 2025, SundayWhere to Watch on TV: | |
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 Dominican-republic | CDN Deportes |
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Atlético Vega Real |
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Cibao |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
- The best margin for this event is 7.7%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Atlético Vega Real
22.1% | Draw
25.7% | Cibao
52.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Atlético Vega Real has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)Cibao has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)The ML Model estimate for Atlético Vega Real aligns with the current prediction.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cibao than the current prediction. (-0.1%)Atlético Vega Real - Cibao Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 13', 0 - 1, Ventura C. ⚽,
- 30', Yambatis Joseph J. (Pen),
- 30', 1 - 1, Dieulemps J. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 2)
- 59', 1 - 2, Murillo J. ⚽,
- 80', 1 - 3, Acuna W. ⚽,
Preview
This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 9 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ LDF (Winners stage: )).In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Vega Real won 0.Vega Real is on a losing streak (last 5 games: 0 wins).Cibao has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).Vega Real may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.Recently, the opponents have had a series of away games. In this match, Cibao is considered a favorite.In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Vega Real won 1 match, drew 5 matches, lost 14 matches, and goals 11:37. (average 0.6:1.9).Including home matches between the teams, Vega Real won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 5:11. (average 0.6:1.4).
Last Results with these Odds
Cibao - the odds 1.75 are the expected chance of winning is 51.87%, but this team recently wins 44% of matches with these odds.
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Dominican Republic LDF | | | 13.08.25 | Cibao - Atlético Vega Real | 2:0 | | 23.06.24 | Cibao - Atlético Vega Real | 3:0 | | 16.05.24 | Atlético Vega Real - Cibao | 0:0 | | 12.04.24 | Cibao - Atlético Vega Real | 3:1 | | 27.08.23 | Atlético Vega Real - Cibao | 0:0 | | 28.07.23 | Cibao - Atlético Vega Real | 3:0 | | 08.07.23 | Atlético Vega Real - Cibao | 2:1 |
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