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Current Win Probability
Atlético Vega Real 30.6%
Draw 30.4%
Moca 39%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
32.5%
27.7%
39.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
31.4%
26.8%
41.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Atlético Vega Real has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)
Moca has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Vega Real than the current prediction. (+0.8%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Moca than the current prediction. (+2.2%)
Atlético Vega Real - Moca Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
58', 1 - 0, Diaz J. (Penalty Awarded),
Preview
Two table neighbours face each other in what promises to be a tight contest (ranked 5th in the Promotion ~ LDF (Winners stage: ) and 3rd in the Promotion ~ LDF (Winners stage: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Vega Real won 0.
In recent outings, Vega Real has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
Moca shows confident form ahead of this contest (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Vega Real has recorded 3 wins, 8 draws, and 9 losses, with a goal aggregate of 17:28 (averaging 0.9:1.4 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Vega Real against this opponent, the record stands at 3 wins, 5 draws, and 2 losses, with 12:12 goals (averaging 1.2:1.2 per game).
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