Match Info

Reserve League - Apertura - Round 12

Date: 5 May 2026, Tuesday

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	LPF Play


	Atlético de Rafaela 2		Huracán Buenos Aires 2

	1	X	2
	3.45	3.1	1.98
	3.94	3.25	2
	3.74	3.17	1.98	Watch
	3.6	2.9	1.95
	3.69	3.49	1.96
	3	3.05	2.17
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.57 ↑ (3)	3.16 ↑ (3.05)	2.01 ↓ (2.17)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Atlético de Rafaela 2
25.6%

Draw
28.9%

Huracán Buenos Aires 2
45.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.7%

29.2%

41.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.7%

28.2%

42.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Atlético de Rafaela 2 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)

Huracán Buenos Aires 2 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético de Rafaela 2 than the current prediction. (+3.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Huracán Buenos Aires 2 than the current prediction. (-3%)

Atlético de Rafaela 2 - Huracán Buenos Aires 2 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
8', 1 - 0, ⚽,
10', 1 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
68', 1 - 2, ⚽,

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 17 and 8).

Atl de Rafaela 2 is on a losing streak (last 5 games: 0 wins).

In recent matches, Huracán 2 has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Huracán 2 could have a small edge in this match.

The teams have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Atlético de Rafaela 2
Argentinian Reserve League
29.04.26	Ferro 2 - Atlético de Rafaela 2	2:1 ✺
22.04.26	Atlético de Rafaela 2 - Sarmiento de Junín 2	0:1 ✺
16.04.26	Atlético de Rafaela 2 - Boca Juniors 2	1:1 ✺
07.04.26	Independiente 2 - Atlético de Rafaela 2	3:2 ✺
31.03.26	Colón Santa Fe 2 - Atlético de Rafaela 2	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 LLTLL
- Huracán Buenos Aires 2
Argentinian Reserve League
30.04.26	Huracán Buenos Aires 2 - Platense 2	0:0 ✺
23.04.26	Huracán Buenos Aires 2 - San Lorenzo 2	0:1 ✺
15.04.26	Quilmes 2 - Huracán Buenos Aires 2	0:0 ✺
09.04.26	Huracán Buenos Aires 2 - Estudiantes La Plata 2	1:0 ✺
02.04.26	Central Córdoba 2 - Huracán Buenos Aires 2	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 TLTWT

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