Match Info

Reserve League - Clausura - Round 8

Date: 8 September 2026, Tuesday

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	LPF Play
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Atlético de Rafaela 2		Independiente 2

	1	X	2
	4.20	3.40	1.68
	3.75	3.35	1.78
	4.44	3.65	1.74
	4.38	3.6	1.72	Watch
	4.35	3.55	1.71
	4.4	3.56	1.78
	4.2	3.5	1.73
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.25 ↑ (3.75)	3.52 ↑ (3.35)	1.73 ↓ (1.78)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Atlético de Rafaela 2
21.5%

Draw
25.9%

Independiente 2
52.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

23.7%

26.5%

49.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.2%

25.9%

51%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Atlético de Rafaela 2 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

Independiente 2 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético de Rafaela 2 than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Independiente 2 than the current prediction. (-1.6%)

Atlético de Rafaela 2 - Independiente 2 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
11', 🟥,
15', 1 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
63', 2 - 0, ⚽,
83', 2 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 6 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Reserve League (Clausura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

In recent matches, Atl de Rafaela 2 has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Independiente 2 is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In this match, Independiente 2 is the team to beat.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Atl de Rafaela 2 won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Atlético de Rafaela 2
Argentinian Reserve League
01.09.26	Atlético de Rafaela 2 - Colón Santa Fe 2	2:1 ✺
26.08.26	Platense 2 - Atlético de Rafaela 2	1:1 ✺
19.08.26	Atlético de Rafaela 2 - Quilmes 2	1:0 ✺
12.08.26	Estudiantes La Plata 2 - Atlético de Rafaela 2	3:1 ✺
06.08.26	Atlético de Rafaela 2 - Central Córdoba 2	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.3 WTWLT
- CA Independiente 2
Argentinian Reserve League
02.09.26	Independiente 2 - Platense 2	1:1 ✺
26.08.26	Quilmes 2 - Independiente 2	1:2 ✺
19.08.26	Independiente 2 - Estudiantes La Plata 2	1:1 ✺
13.08.26	Central Córdoba 2 - Independiente 2	0:2 ✺
05.08.26	Independiente 2 - San Martín de San Juan 2	9:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 TWTWW

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Reserve League
07.04.26	Independiente 2 - Atlético de Rafaela 2	3:2

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