Match Info

Primera Nacional - Round 7

Date: 28 March 2026, Saturday

Location: Estadio Don León Kolbowski (Buenos Aires)


	Atlanta Buenos Aires		Ferro Carril Oeste

	1	X	2
	1.96	2.82	4.5	Watch
	2.05	2.78	4.15	Watch
	2.09	2.88	4.44
	2.15	2.77	4.2	Watch
	2.05	2.7	4.2
	2.02	2.69	4.31
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.05 ↓ (2.08)	2.77 ↓ (2.8)	4.3 ↑ (3.91)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Atlanta Buenos Aires
45.1%

Draw
33.4%

Ferro Carril Oeste
21.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.9%

32.7%

23.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.5%

32.3%

23.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Atlanta Buenos Aires has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

Ferro Carril Oeste has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlanta Buenos Aires than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ferro Carril Oeste than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	75%	0%

Atlanta Buenos Aires - Ferro Carril Oeste Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Atlanta will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 75%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Rago F. (G) 11. Bisanz F. 8. Castro Ponce T. 7. Fedele L. 2. Galeano L. 4. Garcia M. 5. Ostachuk P. 9. Quintana A. 10. Rodriguez I. 6. Rojas T. 3. Sosa R.	1. Monetti F. (G) 7. Garcia F. 10. Gomez N. 8. Marra L. 4. Nazareno K. 5. Obradovich F. 6. Orellana J. 11. Ozuna E. 9. Parisi L. 3. Taron M. 2. Tevez F.
Substitutes
18. Alvarez F. 14. Arguello D. 20. Castro F. 13. Gelos V. 19. Ibarra M. 12. Lopez Kaleniuk L. (G) 15. Mendoza G. 17. Rios L. 16. Urtasun Nahuel	20. Acosta M. 19. Campos M. 13. Canto G. 17. Castellani G. 14. Corda S. 15. Gonzalez A. 18. Kabalin M. 16. Olguin G. 12. Ruiz L. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
32', Rojas T. ↓, Ibarra M. ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Bisanz F. ↓, Alvarez F. ↑,
56', Taron M. ↓, Canto G. ↑,
58', Nazareno K. 🟨,
62', 0 - 1, Parisi L. ⚽, Nazareno K. (A),
68', Rodriguez I. ↓, Castro F. ↑,
68', Garcia M. ↓, Mendoza G. ↑,
70', Ostachuk P. 🟨,
71', Marra L. 🟨,
74', Gomez N. ↓, Kabalin M. ↑,
74', Garcia F. ↓, Olguin G. ↑,
74', Marra L. ↓, Gonzalez A. ↑,
85', Orellana J. ↓, Corda S. ↑,
85', Fedele L. ↓, Rios L. ↑,
90+7', Monetti F. 🟨,

Preview

A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 10 and 15).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Atlanta won 2.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

In this match, Atlanta is considered a favorite.

In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Atlanta won 7 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 16:9. (average 1.6:0.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Atlanta won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:4. (average 1.8:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Atlanta Buenos Aires
Argentinian Primera Nacional
22.03.26	Temperley - Atlanta Buenos Aires	2:1 ✺
16.03.26	Atlanta Buenos Aires - Deportivo Maipú	3:1 ✺
02.03.26	Atlanta Buenos Aires - Patronato Parana	0:0 ✺
22.02.26	Colegiales - Atlanta Buenos Aires	1:0 ✺
16.02.26	Atlanta Buenos Aires - Quilmes	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 LWTLW
- Ferro Carril Oeste
Argentinian Primera Nacional
21.03.26	Ferro Carril Oeste - Los Andes	0:2 ✺
14.03.26	Godoy Cruz - Ferro Carril Oeste	2:1 ✺
28.02.26	Colón - Ferro Carril Oeste	1:1 ✺
21.02.26	Ferro Carril Oeste - San Miguel	1:1 ✺
14.02.26	San Telmo - Ferro Carril Oeste	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 LLTTW

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera Nacional
23.08.25	Atlanta Buenos Aires - Ferro Carril Oeste	2:1
22.04.25	Ferro Carril Oeste - Atlanta Buenos Aires	0:1
24.09.23	Atlanta Buenos Aires - Ferro Carril Oeste	1:1
14.05.23	Ferro Carril Oeste - Atlanta Buenos Aires	2:0
14.06.22	Ferro Carril Oeste - Atlanta Buenos Aires	1:0
21.01.21	Atlanta Buenos Aires - Ferro Carril Oeste	2:1
07.12.20	Ferro Carril Oeste - Atlanta Buenos Aires	0:3

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