Match Info

Primera Nacional - Round 3

Date: 2 March 2026, Monday

Location: Estadio Don León Kolbowski (Buenos Aires)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	LPF Play


	Atlanta Buenos Aires		Patronato Parana

	1	X	2
	1.68	3.3	5.25	Watch
	1.71	3.2	5
	1.72	3.15	4.95	Watch
	1.75	3.28	5.58
	1.77	3.07	5.75	Watch
	1.75	3	5
	1.71	3.06	5.31	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.73 ↓ (1.99)	3.15 ↑ (2.87)	5.26 ↑ (4.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 5.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Atlanta Buenos Aires
53.3%

Draw
29.2%

Patronato Parana
17.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.9%

32.5%

20.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Atlanta Buenos Aires has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Atlanta Buenos Aires's performance.

Patronato Parana has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
40%	40%	20%

Atlanta Buenos Aires - Patronato Parana Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Atlanta will win (votes: 2 - 40%). Patronato will win (votes: 1 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 40%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Atlanta (votes: 1 - 50%). Patronato (votes: 1 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Rago F. (G) 4. Garcia M. 2. Moreira R. 6. Rojas T. 3. Sosa R. 8. Castro Ponce T. 5. Previtali N. 10. Bernardi C. 11. Puch J. 7. Fedele L. 9. Quintana A.	1. Sosa A. (G) 4. Salas J. 2. Meritello F. 6. Diaz G. 3. Moreyra F. 8. Barinaga J. P. 5. Bravo F. 10. Cortes B. 11. Evangelista F. 7. Soldano F. 9. Rivero H.
Substitutes
18. Alvarez F. 14. Arguello D. 17. Bisanz F. 20. Castro F. 13. Galeano L. 12. Lopez Kaleniuk L. (G) 15. Mendoza G. 16. Rios L. 19. Rodriguez I.	20. Araujo A. 12. Caballero M. (G) 17. Enrique M. 18. Miro A. 16. Pereyra V. L. 13. Piccioni S. 15. Picco A. 19. Reynaga R. 14. Velasquez B.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
37', Barinaga J. P. 🟨,
41', Cortes B. 🟨,
45+1', Diaz G. ↓, Piccioni S. ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
51', Quintana A. 🟨,
59', Fedele L. ↓, Castro F. ↑,
59', Barinaga J. P. ↓, Enrique M. ↑,
59', Cortes B. ↓, Araujo A. ↑,
60', Bernardi C. 🟨,
68', Moreira R. ↓, Galeano L. ↑,
69', Bernardi C. ↓, Bisanz F. ↑,
69', Garcia M. ↓, Mendoza G. ↑,
71', Meritello F. 🟨,
82', Castro Ponce T. ↓, Rodriguez I. ↑,
82', Meritello F. ↓, Picco A. ↑,
82', Rivero H. 🟨,
83', Rivero H. ↓, Reynaga R. ↑,
89', Salas J. 🟨,

Preview

Atlanta may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Atlanta is a strong favorite.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Atlanta won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1. (average 0.5:0.5).

Including home match between the teams, Atlanta won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Atlanta Buenos Aires
Argentinian Primera Nacional
22.02.26	Colegiales - Atlanta Buenos Aires	1:0 ✺
16.02.26	Atlanta Buenos Aires - Quilmes	1:0 ✺
01.11.25	Atlanta Buenos Aires - Deportivo Morón	0:0 ✺
19.10.25	Deportivo Morón - Atlanta Buenos Aires	1:0 ✺
11.10.25	Atlanta Buenos Aires - Chaco For Ever	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 LWTLW
- Patronato Parana
Argentinian Primera Nacional
21.02.26	Patronato Parana - Gimnasia y Tiro	1:2 ✺
15.02.26	San Martín de Tucumán - Patronato Parana	0:0 ✺
12.10.25	Estudiantes de Río Cuarto - Patronato Parana	2:1 ✺
04.10.25	Ferro Carril Oeste - Patronato Parana	3:1 ✺
28.09.25	Patronato Parana - Club Almagro	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 LTLLT

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera Nacional
31.08.25	Patronato Parana - Atlanta Buenos Aires	0:0
26.04.25	Atlanta Buenos Aires - Patronato Parana	1:1

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