Match Info

ARGENTINA: PRIMERA NACIONAL - ROUND 6

Date: 19 March 2023, Sunday

Location: Estadio Don León Kolbowski (Buenos Aires)

Referee: Novelli L. (Arg)


	Atlanta Buenos Aires		Independiente Rivadavia

	1	X	2
	2.05	3	4.2
	2	2.95	3.8
	2.05	3	3.5
	2.26	2.8	3.1
	2.1	3.07	4.1
	2.05	2.88	3.8
	2.09	3.1	3.9	Watch
	2.06	3.05	3.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.08 ↓ (2.39)	2.98 ↑ (2.73)	3.77 ↑ (3.17)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Atlanta Buenos Aires
44.4%

Draw
31%

Independiente Rivadavia
24.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38%

33.3%

28.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.7%

32.7%

28.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Atlanta Buenos Aires has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Atlanta Buenos Aires's performance.

Independiente Rivadavia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlanta Buenos Aires than the current prediction. (-5.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Atlanta Buenos Aires that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Independiente Rivadavia than the current prediction. (+3.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	50%	16.7%

Atlanta Buenos Aires - Independiente Rivadavia Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Atlanta will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Independiente R will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

This time we will watch a game between teams from the middle of a tournament table (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs) and 13).

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Atlanta could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Atlanta won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Atlanta won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Atlanta Buenos Aires
Argentinian Primera Nacional
12.03.23	Deportivo Maipú - Atlanta Buenos Aires	1:0 ✺
05.03.23	Atlanta Buenos Aires - Villa Dálmine	2:1 ✺
25.02.23	Deportivo Madryn - Atlanta Buenos Aires	0:1 ✺
20.02.23	Atlanta Buenos Aires - Atlético de Rafaela	0:0 ✺
10.02.23	Estudiantes de Caseros - Atlanta Buenos Aires	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 LWWTL
- Independiente Rivadavia
Argentinian Primera Nacional
12.03.23	Independiente Rivadavia - Tristán Suárez	1:3 ✺
04.03.23	Chacarita Juniors - Independiente Rivadavia	3:0 ✺
26.02.23	Independiente Rivadavia - Mitre	4:1 ✺
19.02.23	Chaco For Ever - Independiente Rivadavia	2:1 ✺
10.02.23	Aldosivi - Independiente Rivadavia	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 LLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera Nacional
03.06.22	Atlanta Buenos Aires - Independiente Rivadavia	0:2
09.02.20	Independiente Rivadavia - Atlanta Buenos Aires	Atletico Atlanta awarded
17.08.19	Atlanta Buenos Aires - Independiente Rivadavia	4:1
19.05.12	Atlanta Buenos Aires - Independiente Rivadavia	N/A

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