Match Info

Copa Argentina - 1/8-finals

Date: 26 August 2026, Wednesday

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	TyC Sports, TyC Sports Play
Brazil	Xsports
Canada	fubo Sports Network
Usa	SportsEngine Play
World	TyC Sports Internacional


	Aldosivi		Independiente Rivadavia

	1	X	2
				Watch
	3.90	2.90	1.90
	4.1	3.15	1.92	Watch
	4.66	3.04	2.12
	4.09	3.04	2.09	Watch
	3.85	2.8	2.05
	3.98	2.98	2.12	Watch
	3.55	2.9	2.21
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.02 ↓ (4.7)	2.97 ↓ (3.45)	2.06 ↑ (1.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 1.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Aldosivi
23.2%

Draw
31.4%

Independiente Rivadavia
45.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

19.5%

26.6%

53.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21%

24.7%

50.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Aldosivi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)

Independiente Rivadavia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Independiente Rivadavia might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aldosivi than the current prediction. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Independiente Rivadavia than the current prediction. (+4.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	16.7%	83.3%

Aldosivi - Independiente Rivadavia Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).

Users Predictions: Independiente Rivadavia will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
42. Acosta L. (G) 28. Moya S. 25. Breitenbruch N. 32. Pombo J. 14. Lopez E. 29. Vombergar A. 11. Palavecino A. 15. Perruzzi F. 21. Godoy M. 16. Dadin B. 9. Cordero N. (C)	30. Bolcato N. (G) 36. Bonifacio E. 2. Costa L. 42. Studer S. 8. Bucca L. 11. Rios G. 5. Bottari T. 25. Florentin Bobadilla J. I. 10. Fernandez M. 9. Arce A. (C) 17. Salas M.
Substitutes
24. Anso F. 41. Baez K. (G) 19. Castro L. 18. Chavez A. 23. Chicco I. (G) 10. Gaitan N. 8. Garcia M. 7. Guzman N. 26. Sammarone S. 22. Sosa A. 38. Vales M. 33. Zalazar N.	19. Atencio R. 23. Diaz L. 21. Gomez Riga E. F. (G) 34. Moreyra S. 13. Osella A. 7. Ramis V. 43. Sartori F. 77. Sequeira L. 32. Vazquez K. A. 28. Vigo A. 40. Villalba I.
Coaches
Damonte I.	Berti A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
11', Lopez E. 🟨,
18', 0 - 1, Rios G. ⚽, Fernandez M. (A),
41', Bottari T. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Perruzzi F. ↓, Castro L. ↑,
46', Dadin B. ↓, Sosa A. ↑,
58', Godoy M. ↓, Gaitan N. ↑,
58', Lopez E. ↓, Garcia M. ↑,
67', Garcia M. 🟨,
72', Pombo J. 🟨,
76', Palavecino A. ↓, Chavez A. ↑,
78', Rios G. ↓, Sartori F. ↑,
85', Salas M. ↓, Villalba I. ↑,
86', Bucca L. ↓, Vigo A. ↑,
90+1', Arce A. ↓, Diaz L. ↑,
90+1', Fernandez M. ↓, Atencio R. ↑,
90+5', 0 - 2, Florentin Bobadilla J. I. ⚽, Diaz L. (A),

Preview

Neutral location.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Aldosivi won 1.

Aldosivi is on a losing streak (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Independiente R has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Aldosivi may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Independiente R is seen as the favorite.

In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Aldosivi won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 8:14. (average 0.8:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Aldosivi won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 5:7. (average 0.8:1.2).

Last Results with these Odds

Aldosivi - the odds 4.7 are the expected chance of winning is 19.5%, but this team recently wins 0% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CA Aldosivi
Argentinian Liga Profesional
21.08.26	Aldosivi - Unión Santa Fe	1:3 ✺
15.08.26	Aldosivi - Tigre	0:0 ✺
07.08.26	Rosario Central - Aldosivi	2:1 ✺
02.08.26	Aldosivi - Gimnasia La Plata	1:2 ✺
29.07.26	Barracas Central - Aldosivi	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 LTLLL
- Independiente Rivadavia
Argentinian Liga Profesional
22.08.26	Independiente - Independiente Rivadavia	0:0 ✺
Copa Libertadores
18.08.26	Independiente Rivadavia - Fluminense	1:2 penalties ✺
Argentinian Liga Profesional
15.08.26	Belgrano - Independiente Rivadavia	2:0 ✺
Copa Libertadores
11.08.26	Fluminense - Independiente Rivadavia	0:0 ✺
Argentinian Liga Profesional
07.08.26	Independiente Rivadavia - Estudiantes de Río Cuarto	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.6 TLLTW

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Liga Profesional
03.05.26	Aldosivi - Independiente Rivadavia	1:1
01.11.25	Aldosivi - Independiente Rivadavia	3:1
22.04.25	Independiente Rivadavia - Aldosivi	1:0
Argentinian Primera Nacional
17.06.23	Independiente Rivadavia - Aldosivi	2:1
10.02.23	Aldosivi - Independiente Rivadavia	1:2
09.12.17	Aldosivi - Independiente Rivadavia	0:0
06.04.14	Independiente Rivadavia - Aldosivi	2:2

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