Match Info

Liga MX Women - Apertura - Round 3

Date: 17 August 2026, Monday

Location: Estadio Nemesio Díez (Toluca)

Referee: Sanchez C. (Mex)

Where to Watch on TV:


Mexico	ViX Gratis
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Toluca		Atlas

	1	X	2
	1.20	6.50	9.00
	1.13	6.6	10.5
	1.15	8.37	14.01
	1.19	7.22	10.71	Watch
	1.13	8.25	13
	1.16	8.76	11
	1.15	7	11
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.16 ↓ (1.22)	7.53 ↑ (6)	11.32 ↑ (8)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.75

The best margin for this event is 6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Toluca
79.6%

Draw
12.2%

Atlas
8.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

73.8%

15%

11.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Toluca has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Toluca's performance.

Atlas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Martinez V. (G) 14. Blackwood D. 7. Espinosa D. 16. Fernandez L. 5. Franco Y. 6. Henry A. 17. Jakobsson S. 9. Le Sommer E. 2. Martinez K. 25. Robert F. 4. Rodriguez Perez Y.	12. Haro C. (G) 6. Acevedo V. 5. Delgado V. (C) 8. Huerta R. F. T. 13. Maldonado M. 29. Martinez A. 11. Munoz S. 23. Penuna V. 28. Quintos B. 3. Saravia L. 9. Villalobos N.
Substitutes
10. Cuevas B. 23. Diaz B. 8. Fernandez K. 56. Gallegos D. 11. Guatemala D. 13. Lopez V. 1. Lozoya C. (G) 27. Munoz B. A. H. 26. Munoz I. 22. Vazquez S.	47. Amezcua M. 1. Contreras K. (G) 22. Delgado F. 7. Flores K. 17. Lopez A. 25. Meza D. 14. Ramirez C.
Coaches
Toril A.	Alfaro J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
17', 0 - 1, Martinez A. ⚽, Huerta R. F. T. (A),
19', Le Sommer E. 🟨,
26', Martinez A. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Jakobsson S. ↓, Cuevas B. ↑,
51', 1 - 1, Le Sommer E. ⚽,
58', Martinez A. ↓, Flores K. ↑,
63', Robert F. 🟨,
66', Huerta R. F. T. ↓, Ramirez C. ↑,
67', Maldonado M. ↓, Delgado F. ↑,
79', Franco Y. ↓, Lopez V. ↑,
83', Munoz S. ↓, Lopez A. ↑,

Preview

A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga MX Women (Apertura ~ Play Offs: ) and 7).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Toluca won 1.

Atlas may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Toluca is the clear favorite.

In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Toluca won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 21:27. (average 1.6:2.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Toluca won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 10:13. (average 1.7:2.2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Deportivo Toluca Women
Mexican Liga MX Women
10.08.26	Toluca - Juárez	2:0 ✺
03.08.26	Atlético San Luis - Toluca	1:4 ✺
10.05.26	Club America - Toluca	4:3 ✺
07.05.26	Toluca - Club America	1:7 ✺
03.05.26	Tigres UANL - Toluca	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.7 WWLLW
- Club Atlas Women
Mexican Liga MX Women
07.08.26	Atlas - Pachuca	1:1 ✺
31.07.26	Cruz Azul - Atlas	3:1 ✺
24.04.26	Atlas - Juárez	1:2 ✺
05.04.26	Atlas - Santos Laguna	1:1 ✺
01.04.26	Club America - Atlas	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 TLLTL

Latest Head to Head

Mexican Liga MX Women
12.01.26	Toluca - Atlas	2:0
29.09.25	Atlas - Toluca	2:2
05.02.25	Toluca - Atlas	0:2
12.09.24	Atlas - Toluca	1:1
12.01.24	Atlas - Toluca	2:2
12.10.23	Toluca - Atlas	2:1
09.02.23	Toluca - Atlas	3:4

Toluca - Atlas: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide