Match Info

ITALY: SERIE D - GROUP F - ROUND 10

Date: 5 November 2023, Sunday


	Atletico Ascoli		Tivoli Calcio

	1	X	2
	1.68	3.4	4.33
	1.57	3.4	4.4
	1.72	3.48	4.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.66 ↓ (1.96)	3.43 ↑ (3.32)	4.34 ↑ (3.44)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 10.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Atletico Ascoli
53.6%

Draw
25.9%

Tivoli Calcio
20.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.3%

27.3%

26.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.4%

26.1%

25.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Atletico Ascoli has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Atletico Ascoli's performance.

Tivoli Calcio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Tivoli Calcio might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atletico Ascoli than the current prediction. (-5.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Atletico Ascoli that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tivoli Calcio than the current prediction. (+4.8%)

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Preview

In a match only outsiders will meet (ranked 15 in the zone Serie D ~ Group F (Play Out: ) and 14 in the zone Serie D ~ Group F (Play Out: )).

Recent matches Atletico Ascoli is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Tivoli is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Atletico Ascoli is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Atletico Ascoli
Italian Serie D - Group F
01.11.23	Sora - Atletico Ascoli	2:2 ✺
29.10.23	Atletico Ascoli - Vigor Senigallia	1:2 ✺
22.10.23	Roma City - Atletico Ascoli	0:1 ✺
15.10.23	L Aquila - Atletico Ascoli	1:1 ✺
08.10.23	Atletico Ascoli - Real Monterotondo	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17 TLWTT
- Tivoli Calcio
Italian Serie D - Group F
01.11.23	Tivoli Calcio - Vigor Senigallia	0:5 ✺
29.10.23	Campobasso - Tivoli Calcio	2:1 ✺
22.10.23	Tivoli Calcio - L Aquila	2:1 ✺
15.10.23	Chieti - Tivoli Calcio	1:0 ✺
01.10.23	Notaresco - Tivoli Calcio	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 LLWLL

Atletico Ascoli - Tivoli Calcio: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide