Match Info

Serie D - Group F - Round 14

Date: 30 November 2025, Sunday


	Atletico Ascoli		Vigor Senigallia

	1	X	2
	2	3.15	3.4
	1.99	3.53	3.25	Watch
	2.01	3.16	3.48
	2.05	3.14	3.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.01 ↑ (1.99)	3.25 ↓ (3.55)	3.38 ↑ (3.29)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Atletico Ascoli
45.1%

Draw
28%

Vigor Senigallia
26.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.2%

25.9%

27.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.5%

25.2%

27.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Atletico Ascoli has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

Vigor Senigallia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atletico Ascoli than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vigor Senigallia than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

Atletico Ascoli - Vigor Senigallia Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
16', 1 - 0, Didio L. ⚽,
45', 2 - 0, Minicucci M. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
70', 2 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

A great opportunity to watch a clash of neighbouring teams in the table (ranked 6 and 7)

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Atletico Ascoli might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Atletico Ascoli won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 2:2. (average 0.7:0.7).

Including home match between the teams, Atletico Ascoli won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Atletico Ascoli
Italian Serie D - Group F
23.11.25	Sora - Atletico Ascoli	0:4 ✺
16.11.25	Atletico Ascoli - Giulianova	0:0 ✺
09.11.25	Maceratese - Atletico Ascoli	3:1 ✺
02.11.25	Atletico Ascoli - UniPomezia	0:0 ✺
26.10.25	Chieti - Atletico Ascoli	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.6 WTLTW
- FC Vigor Senigallia
Italian Serie D - Group F
23.11.25	Vigor Senigallia - Recanatese	1:1 ✺
16.11.25	Ancona - Vigor Senigallia	0:0 ✺
09.11.25	Vigor Senigallia - San Marino Calcio	2:1 ✺
02.11.25	L Aquila - Vigor Senigallia	1:0 ✺
26.10.25	Vigor Senigallia - Termoli	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 TTWLT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group F
13.04.25	Vigor Senigallia - Atletico Ascoli	0:0
03.03.24	Vigor Senigallia - Atletico Ascoli	0:1
29.10.23	Atletico Ascoli - Vigor Senigallia	1:2

Atletico Ascoli - Vigor Senigallia: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide