Match Info

Brasileiro U20 - Round 11

Date: 21 May 2025, Wednesday


	Atletico GO U20		Bahia U20

	1	X	2
	3.4	3.6	1.82
	3.75	3.6	1.81
	4.17	3.96	1.74
	3.87	3.75	1.78	Watch
	3.62	3.62	1.9
	3.75	3.6	1.81
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.76 ↑ (2.77)	3.69 ↓ (3.76)	1.81 ↓ (2.11)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Atletico GO U20
24.4%

Draw
24.9%

Bahia U20
50.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.8%

24.1%

43.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32%

23.5%

44.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Atletico GO U20 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Atletico GO U20's form might have worsened.

Bahia U20 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Bahia U20's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atletico GO U20 than the current prediction. (+7.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Atletico GO U20, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bahia U20 than the current prediction. (-6.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Bahia U20, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Atletico GO U20 - Bahia U20 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 2)
47', 0 - 1, Dell ⚽,
63', 0 - 2, Juninho ⚽,
90+5', 1 - 2, Mateus Macedo ⚽,

Preview

The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 17 and 15)

Atletico GO U20 has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Bahia U20's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Atletico GO U20 may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Bahia U20 is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Atletico GO U20 won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:6. (average 1.3:2).

Including home matches between the teams, Atletico GO U20 won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:6. (average 1.5:3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Atletico GO U20
Brazilian Goiano U20
17.05.25	Trindade U20 - Atletico GO U20	1:0 ✺
Brasileiro U20
14.05.25	Corinthians U20 - Atletico GO U20	2:2 ✺
Brazilian Goiano U20
11.05.25	Atletico GO U20 - Trindade U20	0:0 ✺
Brasileiro U20
07.05.25	Atletico GO U20 - Juventude U20	1:0 ✺
30.04.25	América MG U20 - Atletico GO U20	5:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 LTTWL
- Bahia U20
Brasileiro U20
14.05.25	Bahia U20 - América MG U20	0:1 ✺
07.05.25	Flamengo RJ U20 - Bahia U20	2:0 ✺
Brazilian Baiano U20
03.05.25	Bahia U20 - Juazeirense U20	10:0 ✺
Brasileiro U20
30.04.25	Bahia U20 - Santos U20	0:0 ✺
Brazilian Baiano U20
27.04.25	Galícia U20 - Bahia U20	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.7 LLWTL

Latest Head to Head

Brasileiro U20
03.04.24	Bahia U20 - Atletico GO U20	0:1
13.04.23	Atletico GO U20 - Bahia U20	0:2
14.08.21	Atletico GO U20 - Bahia U20	3:4

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