Match Info

Brasileiro U20 - Round 8

Date: 30 April 2025, Wednesday


	Bahia U20		Santos U20

	1	X	2
	2.45	3.5	2.35
	2.57	3.67	2.49
	2.52	3.71	2.38	Watch
	2.56	3.5	2.31
	2.4	3.4	2.23
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.5 ↓ (2.75)	3.56 ↑ (3.55)	2.35 ↑ (2.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bahia U20
36.2%

Draw
25.4%

Santos U20
38.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.4%

25.1%

42.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.6%

23.5%

39.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bahia U20 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)

Santos U20 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bahia U20 than the current prediction. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Santos U20 than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

Bahia U20 - Santos U20 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
4', 🟥,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

Let's enjoy game between two mid-table teams (ranked 9 and 10).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches Bahia U20 won 2.

Recent matches Bahia U20 is playing unstable (in the last 5 games, wins - 3).

Santos U20 is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games, wins - 0).

Santos U20 could have advantage in physical - more days for rest in last days.

Recently, Bahia U20 had a set of guest games.

In this match, the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Bahia U20 won 2 matches, drew 1 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 9:12 (average 1.5:2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bahia U20
Brazilian Baiano U20
27.04.25	Galícia U20 - Bahia U20	3:0 ✺
Brasileiro U20
23.04.25	Red Bull Bragantino U20 - Bahia U20	2:1 ✺
16.04.25	Internacional U20 - Bahia U20	0:3 ✺
10.04.25	Bahia U20 - Vasco da Gama U20	5:1 ✺
Brazilian Baiano U20
05.04.25	SSA U20 - Bahia U20	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 LLWWW
- Santos U20
Brazilian Paulista U20
26.04.25	Sfera U20 - Santos U20	2:1 ✺
Brasileiro U20
23.04.25	Santos U20 - Cruzeiro U20	2:3 ✺
16.04.25	Santos U20 - Fluminense U20	1:2 ✺
09.04.25	Atletico GO U20 - Santos U20	1:1 ✺
03.04.25	Santos U20 - Palmeiras U20	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 LLLTT

Latest Head to Head

Brasileiro U20
25.06.24	Santos U20 - Bahia U20	2:1
27.04.23	Santos U20 - Bahia U20	2:2
Brazilian Copinha
15.01.23	Santos U20 - Bahia U20	4:0
Brasileiro U20
01.08.21	Santos U20 - Bahia U20	1:3
08.11.20	Santos U20 - Bahia U20	0:2
13.07.19	Santos U20 - Bahia U20	3:1

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