BRAZIL: CAMPEONATO ACREANO - SECOND STAGE - ROUND 4
Date: 26 April 2023, Wednesday
Atlético Acreano
São Francisco Rio Branco
1
X
2
3.9
4.1
1.61
4.2
4.4
1.62
2.85
3.9
2.03
Avarage Now (Initially)
3.65 ↑ (1.6)
4.13 ↑ (3.9)
1.75 ↓ (4.49)
The most likely Over/Under: 3.75
The best margin for this event is 8.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Atlético Acreano 25.2%
Draw 22.3%
São Francisco Rio Branco 52.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
56.6%
23.2%
20.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
51%
20.9%
22.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Atlético Acreano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-31.4%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Atlético Acreano's form might have worsened.
São Francisco Rio Branco has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+32.3%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting São Francisco Rio Branco's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Acreano than the current prediction. (+25.8%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Atlético Acreano, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for São Francisco Rio Branco than the current prediction. (-30.1%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for São Francisco Rio Branco, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
13%
4.3%
82.6%
Atlético Acreano - São Francisco Rio Branco Predictions
Users Predictions:
23 users predict this event. Atlético Acreano will win (votes: 3 - 13%). São Francisco will win (votes: 19 - 82.6%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 4.3%). Confidence interval (95%) for São Francisco: 67.1% – 98.1%.
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Preview
Recent matches Atlético Acreano is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
São Francisco is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Atlético Acreano could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
São Francisco will have a poor advantage in this game.
Last 4 head-to-head matches Atlético Acreano won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 15-11.
Including matches at home between the teams Atlético Acreano won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 13-10.
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