The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Atlético Albericia 50.8%
Draw 26.1%
Castro 23.1%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
50.4%
26.4%
23.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Atlético Albericia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)
Castro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
40', 1 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (3 - 2)
47', 1 - 1, ⚽,
58', 2 - 1, ⚽,
63', 3 - 1, ⚽,
80', 4 - 1, ⚽,
85', 4 - 2, ⚽,
Preview
A team fighting near the bottom hosts a mid-table side in a match full of urgency (ranked 16th in the Relegation and 11th).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Atlético Albericia won 4.
Atlético Albericia could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
Bookmakers give the edge to Atlético Albericia for this game.
In the last 10 head-to-head meetings, Atlético Albericia has recorded 4 wins, 4 draws, and 2 losses, with a goal aggregate of 14:7 (averaging 1.4:0.7 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Atlético Albericia against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 2 draws, and 0 losses, with 7:2 goals (averaging 1.8:0.5 per game).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
10
Castro
8
2
2
4
10:12
-2
8
13
Atletico Albericia
8
1
3
4
10:14
-4
6
Last Results with these Odds
Atlético Albericia - the odds 1.77 are the expected chance of winning is 50.36%, but this team recently wins 75% of matches with these odds.