Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 3 - Round 5

Date: 4 October 2026, Sunday


	Castro		Tropezón

	1	X	2
	2.90	3.20	2.15
	2.9	3.05	2.22
	3.02	3.03	2.25
	3.05	3.14	2.27	Watch
	2.95	2.95	2.2
	3.17	3.35	2.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	3 (3)	3.12 ↑ (2.9)	2.23 ↑ (2.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Castro
30.3%

Draw
29.1%

Tropezón
40.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.9%

29.9%

41.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Castro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

Tropezón has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
25', 0 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
49', 0 - 2, ⚽,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Castro won 0.

Tropezón carries the favorite tag into this contest.

In the last 10 head-to-head meetings, Castro has recorded 1 win, 1 draw, and 8 losses, with a goal aggregate of 5:20 (averaging 0.5:2 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Castro against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 1 draw, and 3 losses, with 0:5 goals (averaging 0:1.3 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Tropezon	5	5	0	0	11:2	9	15
11	Castro	5	1	2	2	4:6	-2	5

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Castro FC
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 3
27.09.26	Castro - Atlético Mineros Reocín	0:2 ✺
19.09.26	Revilla - Castro	2:2 ✺
06.09.26	Selaya - Castro	0:0 ✺
09.05.26	Castro - Tropezón	0:2 ✺
26.04.26	Castro - Gimnástica de Torrelavega	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.6 LTTLL
- CD Tropezón
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 3
27.09.26	Tropezón - Revilla	2:0 ✺
12.09.26	Tropezón - Selaya	3:0 ✺
06.09.26	Laredo - Tropezón	1:2 ✺
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 1
20.06.26	Arnedo - Tropezón	2:0 penalties ✺
13.06.26	Tropezón - Arnedo	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.9 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 3
09.05.26	Castro - Tropezón	0:2
11.01.26	Tropezón - Castro	3:1
24.05.25	Tropezón - Castro	2:0
18.05.25	Castro - Tropezón	0:1
19.01.25	Tropezón - Castro	1:0
25.02.24	Tropezón - Castro	2:3
08.10.23	Castro - Tropezón	0:2

Castro - Tropezón: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide