Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 3 - Round 16

Date: 4 January 2026, Sunday


	Atlético Albericia		Escobedo

	1	X	2
	1.85	3.2	3.8
	2.00	3.39	3.51	Watch
	1.85	3.1	4
	1.85	3.32	3.86
	1.76	3.4	4.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.86 ↓ (2.12)	3.28 ↑ (3.25)	3.87 ↑ (3.15)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Atlético Albericia
48.8%

Draw
27.7%

Escobedo
23.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43%

28.1%

28.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.6%

27.1%

27.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Atlético Albericia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Atlético Albericia's performance.

Escobedo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Escobedo might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético Albericia than the current prediction. (-4.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Escobedo than the current prediction. (+4.4%)

Atlético Albericia - Escobedo Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
1', 0 - 1, Pena G. B. ⚽,
3', 1 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
63', 2 - 1, ⚽,
90+6', 🟥,

Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 6 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 3 (Play Offs: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Atlético Albericia won 1.

Recent form of Atlético Albericia has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Escobedo has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Atlético Albericia may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Atlético Albericia is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Atlético Albericia won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 9:14. (average 1.1:1.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Atlético Albericia won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 6:5. (average 1.5:1.3).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
12	Escobedo	5	1	2	2	3:7	-4	5
16	Atletico Albericia	5	0	1	4	3:9	-6	1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Atlético Albericia
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 3
20.12.25	Atlético Albericia - Laredo	1:1 ✺
13.12.25	Vimenor - Atlético Albericia	2:1 ✺
07.12.25	Atlético Albericia - Bezana	0:1 ✺
23.11.25	Tropezón - Atlético Albericia	1:0 ✺
16.11.25	Atlético Albericia - Torina	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.9 TLLLW
- UM Escobedo
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 3
21.12.25	Vimenor - Escobedo	1:0 ✺
14.12.25	Escobedo - Tropezón	2:1 ✺
06.12.25	Cartes - Escobedo	0:3 ✺
23.11.25	Escobedo - Gimnástica de Torrelavega	1:4 ✺
16.11.25	Revilla - Escobedo	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 LWWLL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 3
04.02.24	Atlético Albericia - Escobedo	0:2
16.09.23	Escobedo - Atlético Albericia	2:2
04.02.23	Atlético Albericia - Escobedo	2:2
01.10.22	Escobedo - Atlético Albericia	3:1
30.04.22	Atlético Albericia - Escobedo	2:1
08.01.22	Escobedo - Atlético Albericia	1:0
01.11.19	Atlético Albericia - Escobedo	2:0

Atlético Albericia - Escobedo: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide