Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 3 - Round 12

Date: 23 November 2025, Sunday


	Tropezón		Atlético Albericia

	1	X	2
	2.35	3	2.82
	2.89	2.05	4.04	Watch
	2.08	3.38	3.43
	2.18	3.25	3.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.38 ↑ (2.18)	2.92 ↓ (3.25)	3.34 ↑ (3.05)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tropezón
39.6%

Draw
32.2%

Atlético Albericia
28.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.9%

28.1%

30%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43%

28.9%

29.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tropezón has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

Atlético Albericia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tropezón than the current prediction. (+3.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Albericia than the current prediction. (+1%)

Tropezón - Atlético Albericia Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
59', 🟥,
65', 1 - 0, ⚽,

Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 3 (Play Offs: ) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 3 (Play Offs: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tropezón won 2.

Recent form of Tropezón has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Atlético Albericia is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Tropezón may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Tropezón is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Tropezón won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 10:8. (average 1.1:0.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Tropezón won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 7:4. (average 1.4:0.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Tropezón
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 3
09.11.25	Tropezón - Gimnástica de Torrelavega	0:1 ✺
01.11.25	Revilla - Tropezón	0:3 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
28.10.25	Tropezón - Leonesa	1:3 ✺
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 3
25.10.25	Tropezón - Guarnizo	0:3 ✺
19.10.25	Colindres - Tropezón	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.7 LWLLT
- Atlético Albericia
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 3
16.11.25	Atlético Albericia - Torina	2:1 ✺
08.11.25	Cartes - Atlético Albericia	0:0 ✺
02.11.25	Atlético Albericia - Barquereño	1:0 ✺
26.10.25	Gimnástica de Torrelavega - Atlético Albericia	1:2 ✺
11.10.25	Revilla - Atlético Albericia	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 WTWWL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 3
04.05.25	Tropezón - Atlético Albericia	1:0
21.12.24	Atlético Albericia - Tropezón	2:0
17.02.24	Atlético Albericia - Tropezón	0:1
01.10.23	Tropezón - Atlético Albericia	1:3
21.01.23	Atlético Albericia - Tropezón	1:1
16.02.20	Tropezón - Atlético Albericia	1:1
24.02.19	Tropezón - Atlético Albericia	2:0

Tropezón - Atlético Albericia: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide