Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 34

Date: 11 May 2025, Sunday


	Atlético Arteixo		Sarriana

	1	X	2
	1.93	3.3	3.3
	1.93	3.4	3.5
	1.71	3.8	3.96
	1.7	3.97	4.01	Watch
	1.72	3.7	4.05
	1.93	3.4	3.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.82 ↓ (3.31)	3.6 ↑ (3.29)	3.72 ↑ (2.02)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Atlético Arteixo
50.1%

Draw
25.4%

Sarriana
24.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.5%

27.6%

44.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.3%

26.8%

43.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Atlético Arteixo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+22.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Atlético Arteixo's performance.

Sarriana has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-20.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Sarriana might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético Arteixo than the current prediction. (-21.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Atlético Arteixo that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sarriana than the current prediction. (+19.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Sarriana could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Atlético Arteixo - Sarriana Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (4 - 1)
4', 1 - 0, Otero A. ⚽,
5', 2 - 0, Otero A. ⚽,
22', 2 - 1, Millan A. ⚽,
26', 3 - 1, Otero A. ⚽,
30', 4 - 1, Giraldi A. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
77', 4 - 2, ⚽,

Preview

This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 14 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 1 (Play Offs: )).

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Sarriana may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Sarriana is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Atlético Arteixo won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:5. (average 0.7:1.7).

Including home match between the teams, Atlético Arteixo won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Atlético Arteixo
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 1
03.05.25	Alondras - Atlético Arteixo	0:0 ✺
27.04.25	Atlético Arteixo - Silva SD	1:0 ✺
20.04.25	Estradense - Atlético Arteixo	2:1 ✺
17.04.25	Atlético Arteixo - Noia	1:1 ✺
12.04.25	Atlético Arteixo - Gran Peña	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 TWLTT
- SD Sarriana
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 1
27.04.25	Betanzos - Sarriana	2:3 ✺
20.04.25	Sarriana - Polvorín	0:4 ✺
17.04.25	Valladares - Sarriana	2:2 ✺
23.03.25	Barbadás - Sarriana	0:0 ✺
15.03.25	Sarriana - Alondras	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.7 WLTTL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 1
11.01.25	Sarriana - Atlético Arteixo	2:2
01.05.24	Atlético Arteixo - Sarriana	0:2
07.01.24	Sarriana - Atlético Arteixo	1:0

Atlético Arteixo - Sarriana: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide