Match Info

SPAIN: Tercera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 26

Date: 15 March 2025, Saturday


	Sarriana		Alondras

	1	X	2
	1.83	3.3	3.7
	1.85	3.35	3.85
	1.86	3.41	3.88	Watch
	1.83	3.34	3.95
	1.85	3.35	3.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.84 ↓ (1.87)	3.35 ↑ (3.3)	3.85 ↑ (3.82)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sarriana
49.3%

Draw
27.1%

Alondras
23.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.6%

27.6%

23.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.3%

28.6%

23%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sarriana has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

Alondras has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sarriana than the current prediction. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alondras than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

Sarriana - Alondras Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
45', 1 - 0, Garcia A. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
68', 1 - 1, ⚽,
81', 1 - 2, ⚽,

Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day's play. In the match war can see two teams from the top of the table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 1 (Play Offs: ) and 6).

Sarriana is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Alondras in the latest match got series victories and it is in excellent form (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Alondras could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Sarriana is a favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Sarriana won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4:4 (average 1.3:1.3).

Including matches at home between the teams Sarriana won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1:1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SD Sarriana
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 1
08.03.25	Silva SD - Sarriana	1:1 ✺
23.02.25	Gran Peña - Sarriana	1:3 ✺
15.02.25	Sarriana - Somozas	5:0 ✺
02.02.25	Sarriana - Villalonga	1:2 ✺
19.01.25	Sarriana - Arosa	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 TWWLW
- Alondras CF
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 1
08.03.25	Barbadás - Alondras	1:2 ✺
01.03.25	Alondras - Silva SD	3:1 ✺
23.02.25	Estradense - Alondras	0:1 ✺
16.02.25	Alondras - Gran Peña	0:0 ✺
09.02.25	Somozas - Alondras	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.1 WWWTW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 1
03.11.24	Alondras - Sarriana	2:1
21.04.24	Alondras - Sarriana	1:2
03.12.23	Sarriana - Alondras	1:1

Sarriana - Alondras: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide