Match Info

Segunda RFEF - Group 1 - Round 3

Date: 20 September 2025, Saturday


	Atlético Astorga		Coruxo

	1	X	2
	2.42	2.88	2.82
	2.38	3.03	3.11
	7.43	3.87	1.45	Watch
	2.71	2.97	2.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.74 ↑ (2.92)	3.19 ↑ (2.96)	2.5 ↑ (2.41)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Atlético Astorga
27.3%

Draw
31.9%

Coruxo
40.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.3%

30.8%

37.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.9%

29.3%

36.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Atlético Astorga has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)

Coruxo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Astorga than the current prediction. (+5.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Atlético Astorga, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Coruxo than the current prediction. (-4.7%)

Atlético Astorga - Coruxo Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
28', 0 - 1, Farina N. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
73', 0 - 2, Gonzalez J. D. ⚽,

Preview

In recent matches, Atlético Astorga has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Coruxo has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Recently, Atlético Astorga has had a series of home games.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Atlético Astorga won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 7:8. (average 1.8:2).

Including home matches between the teams, Atlético Astorga won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:4. (average 2.5:2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Atlético Astorga
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
14.09.25	Salamanca - Atlético Astorga	2:0 ✺
06.09.25	Atlético Astorga - Real Ávila	1:3 ✺
Club Friendly
30.08.25	Atlético Astorga - Barco	1:0 ✺
27.08.25	Atlético Astorga - Villaralbo	1:0 ✺
23.08.25	Atlético Astorga - Guijuelo	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 LLWWW
- Coruxo FC
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
14.09.25	Coruxo - Deportivo A Coruña B	0:2 ✺
07.09.25	Langreo - Coruxo	1:1 ✺
Club Friendly
30.08.25	Céltiga - Coruxo	3:1 ✺
20.08.25	Coruxo - Pontevedra	3:0 ✺
09.08.25	Coruxo - Ourense CF	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 LTLWL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
09.01.16	Coruxo - Atlético Astorga	3:1
22.08.15	Atlético Astorga - Coruxo	2:3
07.03.15	Atlético Astorga - Coruxo	3:1
19.10.14	Coruxo - Atlético Astorga	1:1

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