Match Info

SPAIN: Tercera RFEF - Group 8 - Round 13

Date: 23 November 2024, Saturday


	Atlético Astorga		Mojados

	1	X	2
	1.39	4	7
	1.4	4.1	7.2
	1.37	4.04	7.76
	1.39	4.02	8.32	Watch
	1.35	4.2	8.35
	1.4	4.1	7.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.38 ↓ (1.82)	4.08 ↑ (3.25)	7.64 ↑ (4.09)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Atlético Astorga
65.8%

Draw
22.3%

Mojados
11.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.9%

27.9%

22.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.8%

28.9%

21.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Atlético Astorga has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+15.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Atlético Astorga's performance.

Mojados has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Mojados might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético Astorga than the current prediction. (-14%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Atlético Astorga that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mojados than the current prediction. (+9.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Mojados could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Atlético Astorga - Mojados Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (2 - 0)
70', 1 - 0, Mas C. ⚽,
90+4', 2 - 0, ⚽,

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Atlético Astorga
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 8
17.11.24	Burgos Promesas - Atlético Astorga	3:1 ✺
09.11.24	Atlético Astorga - La Virgen del Camino	1:0 ✺
02.11.24	Laguna de Tenerife - Atlético Astorga	0:4 ✺
27.10.24	Atlético Astorga - Leonesa B	0:1 ✺
23.10.24	Palencia CA - Atlético Astorga	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 LWWLT
- CD Mojados
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 8
16.11.24	Mojados - Atlético Palencia	2:0 ✺
10.11.24	Becerril - Mojados	1:2 ✺
01.11.24	Mojados - Santa Marta Tormes	0:2 ✺
27.10.24	Villaralbo - Mojados	1:1 ✺
23.10.24	Mojados - Briviesca	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.5 WWLTW

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