Match Info

SPAIN: Tercera RFEF - Group 8 - Round 11

Date: 9 November 2024, Saturday


	Atlético Astorga		La Virgen del Camino

	1	X	2
	1.63	3.4	4.75
	1.65	3.45	4.9
	1.62	3.29	4.98
				Watch
	1.64	3.4	5.13
	1.65	3.45	4.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.64 ↑ (1.62)	3.4 ↓ (3.5)	4.93 ↓ (5.08)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Atlético Astorga
55.1%

Draw
26.6%

La Virgen del Camino
18.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.1%

26%

17.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.4%

25.4%

17.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Atlético Astorga has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

La Virgen del Camino has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Astorga than the current prediction. (+2.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for La Virgen del Camino than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

Atlético Astorga - La Virgen del Camino Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
89', 1 - 0, Jimenez J. ⚽,

Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day's play. In the match war can see two teams from the top of the table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 8 (Play Offs: )).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Atlético Astorga won 1.

Atlético Astorga is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches La Virgen is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Atlético Astorga could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Atlético Astorga is a favorite.

Last 10 head-to-head matches Atlético Astorga won 4 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 12:10 (average 1.2:1).

Including matches at home between the teams Atlético Astorga won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 6:6 (average 1.5:1.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Atlético Astorga
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 8
02.11.24	Laguna de Tenerife - Atlético Astorga	0:4 ✺
27.10.24	Atlético Astorga - Leonesa B	0:1 ✺
23.10.24	Palencia CA - Atlético Astorga	0:0 ✺
19.10.24	Atlético Astorga - Mirandés B	3:1 ✺
05.10.24	Atlético Astorga - Ciudad Rodrigo	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 WLTWW
- CD La Virgen del Camino
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 8
03.11.24	La Virgen del Camino - Atlético Palencia	0:1 ✺
01.11.24	La Virgen del Camino - Briviesca	1:0 ✺
27.10.24	Becerril - La Virgen del Camino	0:2 ✺
23.10.24	La Virgen del Camino - Santa Marta Tormes	0:1 ✺
05.10.24	Mojados - La Virgen del Camino	1:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.4 LWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 8
09.03.24	Atlético Astorga - La Virgen del Camino	1:2
21.10.23	La Virgen del Camino - Atlético Astorga	1:0
18.02.23	La Virgen del Camino - Atlético Astorga	1:1
15.10.22	Atlético Astorga - La Virgen del Camino	3:2
20.02.22	La Virgen del Camino - Atlético Astorga	0:0
12.10.21	Atlético Astorga - La Virgen del Camino	2:1
17.02.21	Atlético Astorga - La Virgen del Camino	0:1

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