Match Info

Primera Division - Apertura - Round 10

Date: 12 September 2026, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Atlético Balboa		Platense Municipal Zacatecoluca

	1	X	2
	2.70	2.90	2.45
	2.7	2.92	2.42
	2.58	2.87	2.41
	2.86	3.03	2.56	Watch
	2.65	2.9	2.35
	2.71	3.02	2.43	Watch
	2.7	2.95	2.43
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.7 ↑ (2.28)	2.94 ↓ (3.1)	2.44 ↓ (2.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Atlético Balboa
33%

Draw
30.3%

Platense Municipal Zacatecoluca
36.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.2%

28.8%

31.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.4%

29.4%

32.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Atlético Balboa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Atlético Balboa's form might have worsened.

Platense Municipal Zacatecoluca has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Balboa than the current prediction. (+5.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Atlético Balboa, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Platense Municipal Zacatecoluca than the current prediction. (-4%)

Atlético Balboa - Platense Municipal Zacatecoluca Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
7', 0 - 1, Bello N. ⚽,
2nd Half (3 - 0)
64', 1 - 1, Cruz E. ⚽,
70', 2 - 1, Martinez M. ⚽,
85', 3 - 1, Diaz J. ⚽,

Preview

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 8 and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Division (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

In recent matches, Atlético Balboa has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Platense Municipal is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Atlético Balboa may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

Recently, there has been no match between the teams.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
8	Platense Municipal	14	4	4	6	15:19	-4	16
10	Atletico Balboa	14	3	4	7	15:22	-7	13

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Atlético Balboa
El Salvador Primera Division
08.09.26	INCA-Aruba - Atlético Balboa	1:0 ✺
06.09.26	Atlético Balboa - Municipal Limeño	0:2 ✺
29.08.26	Alianza San Miguel - Atlético Balboa	2:0 ✺
23.08.26	Atlético Balboa - Fuerte San Francisco	1:0 ✺
15.08.26	Águila - Atlético Balboa	2:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21.9 LLLWW
- Platense Municipal Zacatecoluca
El Salvador Primera Division
09.09.26	Platense Municipal Zacatecoluca - Isidro Metapán	1:2 ✺
05.09.26	Cacahuatique - Platense Municipal Zacatecoluca	1:2 ✺
29.08.26	Platense Municipal Zacatecoluca - Inter Santa Tecla	0:3 ✺
26.08.26	Platense Municipal Zacatecoluca - Alianza San Miguel	2:2 ✺
23.08.26	Luis Ángel Firpo - Platense Municipal Zacatecoluca	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.6 LWLTL

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