Match Info

Primera Division - Apertura - Round 9

Date: 8 September 2026, Tuesday 🏁 Finished

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Usa	20:00	SportsEngine Play


	INCA-Aruba		Atlético Balboa

	1	X	2
	2.70	3.20	2.25
	3.05	3.15	2.12
	3.12	3.35	2.26
	3.09	3.45	2.19	Watch
	2.65	3.30	2.40
	2.82	3.45	2.35	Watch
	2.65	3.30	2.35
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.87 ↓ (3.05)	3.31 ↑ (3.15)	2.27 ↑ (2.12)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

INCA-Aruba
32%

Draw
27.7%

Atlético Balboa
40.3%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

29.4%

28.4%

42.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29%

28%

43%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

INCA-Aruba has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)

Atlético Balboa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for INCA-Aruba than the current prediction. (-3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Balboa than the current prediction. (+2.7%)

INCA Aruba - Atlético Balboa Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
90+6', 1 - 0, Barahona J. ⚽,

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 12 and 8).

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

Recently, there has been no match between the teams.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
9	Inca Aruba	17	4	4	9	13:31	-18	16
10	Atletico Balboa	17	3	5	9	16:28	-12	14

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD INCA-Aruba
El Salvador Primera Division
05.09.26	Isidro Metapán - INCA-Aruba	0:1 ✺
28.08.26	INCA-Aruba - Cacahuatique	1:1 ✺
21.08.26	Inter Santa Tecla - INCA-Aruba	4:1 ✺
16.08.26	INCA-Aruba - Luis Ángel Firpo	0:0 ✺
08.08.26	Platense Municipal Zacatecoluca - INCA-Aruba	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 24.3 WTLTL
- Atlético Balboa
El Salvador Primera Division
06.09.26	Atlético Balboa - Municipal Limeño	0:2 ✺
29.08.26	Alianza San Miguel - Atlético Balboa	2:0 ✺
23.08.26	Atlético Balboa - Fuerte San Francisco	1:0 ✺
15.08.26	Águila - Atlético Balboa	2:4 ✺
09.08.26	CD FAS - Atlético Balboa	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 28.7 LLWWT

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD INCA-Aruba
El Salvador Primera Division
31.10.26	Cacahuatique - INCA-Aruba	✺
- Atlético Balboa
El Salvador Primera Division
01.11.26	Atlético Balboa - Alianza San Miguel	✺

INCA-Aruba - Atlético Balboa