Match Info

Liga 3 - Relegation Group - Round 8

Date: 18 April 2026, Saturday

Location: Estádio da Tapadinha (Lisbon)

Where to Watch on TV:


Portugal	Canal 11


	Atlético CP		Caldas

	1	X	2
	1.95	3.15	3.6
	1.95	3.33	4.24
	2.12	3.13	3.58	Watch
	2.1	2.88	3.5
	1.91	3.39	3.97
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.01 ↑ (1.92)	3.18 ↑ (3.13)	3.78 ↓ (3.96)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Atlético CP
46.2%

Draw
29.2%

Caldas
24.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.6%

29.3%

23.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46%

28.3%

23.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Atlético CP has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

Caldas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético CP than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Caldas than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

Atlético CP - Caldas Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Ferreira F. (G) 7. Barandas M. 11. Delcio 18. Dias R. (C) 5. Durand V. 3. Gonzalez F. 4. Henriques D. 96. Herrera J. 8. Nicolas Souza 19. Okoli F. 86. Sousa C.	12. Almeida D. (G) 9. Chaves G. 8. Clemente D. (C) 10. Januario 77. Lopes D. 14. Maneta D. 30. Monteiro E. 94. Oliveira F. 4. Pipo 3. Pires Gomes J. R. 33. Tarzan
Substitutes
23. Almeida B. 99. Dias R. (G) 21. Garcia O. 25. Hernandez S. 60. Marques R. 6. Pascoal C. 31. Paulinho 38. Santana C. 49. Suker H.	66. Carreira R. 25. Farinha L. 21. Fernandes D. 79. Gata J. 17. Goncas 20. Lourenco G. 6. Palmerio M. 1. Soares W. (G) 91. Vieira J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
13', 1 - 0, Nicolas Souza ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Lopes D. ↓, Vieira J. ↑,
46', Pires Gomes J. R. ↓, Palmerio M. ↑,
54', Maneta D. ↓, Carreira R. ↑,
62', Carreira R. 🟨,
68', Clemente D. 🟨,
68', Nicolas Souza ↓, Santana C. ↑,
68', Herrera J. ↓, Suker H. ↑,
70', Clemente D. ↓, Gata J. ↑,
77', Chaves G. ↓, Goncas ↑,
78', Sousa C. ↓, Pascoal C. ↑,
87', Durand V. ↓, Marques R. ↑,
88', Pascoal C. ↓, Garcia O. ↑,
90+2', 2 - 0, Delcio ⚽,
90+6', 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Atlético CP won 4.

Atlético CP has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Caldas is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Atlético CP is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Atlético CP won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 12:6. (average 1.7:0.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Atlético CP won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:2. (average 2:0.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Atlético CP
Portuguese Liga 3
12.04.26	Covilhã - Atlético CP	2:1 ✺
22.03.26	Atlético CP - Amora	1:2 ✺
14.03.26	Caldas - Atlético CP	0:1 ✺
07.03.26	Amora - Atlético CP	0:1 ✺
28.02.26	Atlético CP - Covilhã	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 LLWWL
- SC Caldas
Portuguese Liga 3
12.04.26	Amora - Caldas	1:2 ✺
22.03.26	Caldas - Lusitano GC	1:1 ✺
14.03.26	Caldas - Atlético CP	0:1 ✺
07.03.26	Lusitano GC - Caldas	0:1 ✺
28.02.26	Caldas - Amora	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.5 WTLWW

Latest Head to Head

Portuguese Liga 3
14.03.26	Caldas - Atlético CP	0:1
07.12.25	Caldas - Atlético CP	0:1
24.08.25	Atlético CP - Caldas	2:0
19.01.25	Caldas - Atlético CP	1:1
06.10.24	Atlético CP - Caldas	4:0
05.11.23	Atlético CP - Caldas	0:2
08.08.23	Caldas - Atlético CP	3:3

Atlético CP - Caldas: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide