Match Info

Liga 3 - Round 6

Date: 11 October 2026, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Location: Estádio da Tapadinha (Lisbon) 🌤️ ...

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Portugal	15:00	Canal 11


	Atlético CP		Caldas

	1	X	2
	1.68	3.50	4.20
	1.65	3.45	4.20
	1.68	3.67	5.07
	1.74	3.62	4.57	Watch
	1.66	3.60	5.00
	1.73	3.62	4.66
	1.69	3.55	4.10
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.69 ↓ (1.79)	3.57 ↑ (3.54)	4.54 ↑ (4.24)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Atlético CP
54.2%

Draw
25.6%

Caldas
20.2%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

51.9%

26.2%

21.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Atlético CP has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

Caldas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

Atlético CP - Caldas Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Hidalgo N. (G) 2. Martins J. 33. Calegari A. 4. Henriques D. 5. Durand V. 18. Dias R. 28. Konate M. 20. Pacheco E. 10. Caleb 38. Santana C. 11. Suker H.	12. Almeida D. (G) 17. Goncas 3. Nando 70. Nascimento D. 20. Lourenco G. 5. Correia R. 80. Palmerio M. 77. Pio G. 22. Serrazina T. 7. Ricky 9. Chaves G.
Substitutes
23. Arezes D. 6. Costa G. 99. Dias R. (G) 29. Dinamite D. 85. Gaspar N. 9. Nicolas Souza 47. Ramos P. 45. Tavares R. 19. Traore S.	8. Clemente D. 11. Fernandes D. 21. Mucuana Lobo E. J. 24. Oliveira F. . Pepo 23. Rodeia M. 1. Soares W. (G) 35. Tarzan 94. Vieira J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
8', 1 - 0, Durand V. ⚽, Santana C. (A),
10', Palmerio M. 🟨,
35', Serrazina T. 🟨,
42', Pacheco E. 🟨,
2nd Half (3 - 1)
46', Ricky ↓, Tarzan ↑,
46', Pio G. ↓, Mucuana Lobo E. J. ↑,
46', Serrazina T. ↓, Clemente D. ↑,
48', 2 - 0, Suker H. ⚽, Santana C. (A),
62', Konate M. ↓, Costa G. ↑,
66', Correia R. ↓, Fernandes D. ↑,
73', Suker H. ↓, Traore S. ↑,
84', 3 - 0, Nicolas Souza ⚽,
86', 3 - 1, Goncas ⚽,
90+2', 🟨,
90+3', 4 - 1, Nicolas Souza ⚽,

Preview

This match features a clash between a top-table contender and a mid-table team (ranked 2nd in the Promotion - Liga 3 (Promotion Group: ) and 5th in the Liga 3 (Relegation Group: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Atlético CP won 4.

Atlético CP has displayed good consistency in recent games (last 5 matches: 4 wins).

Atlético CP carries the favorite tag into this contest.

Our forecast points to a victory for Atlético CP in today's match, at odds of 1.69.

In the last 8 head-to-head meetings, Atlético CP has recorded 5 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 14:6 (averaging 1.8:0.8 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Atlético CP against this opponent, the record stands at 3 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with 8:2 goals (averaging 2:0.5 per game).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Atlético CP
Taça de Portugal
19.09.26	Atlético CP - Lagoa	4:1 ✺
Portuguese Liga 3
13.09.26	Belenenses - Atlético CP	1:0 ✺
06.09.26	Atlético CP - Oliveirense	3:1 ✺
Taça de Portugal
29.08.26	Montijo - Atlético CP	0:4 ✺
Portuguese Liga 3
22.08.26	Covilhã - Atlético CP	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.9 WLWWW
- SC Caldas
Portuguese Liga 3
13.09.26	Caldas - Vitória de Sernache	2:0 ✺
04.09.26	União de Santarém - Caldas	0:1 ✺
Taça de Portugal
30.08.26	Caldas - Sintrense	1:3 ✺
Portuguese Liga 3
16.08.26	Caldas - Lusitano GC	0:0 ✺
08.08.26	Belenenses - Caldas	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 WWLTL

Latest Head to Head

Portuguese Liga 3
18.04.26	Atlético CP - Caldas	2:0
14.03.26	Caldas - Atlético CP	0:1
07.12.25	Caldas - Atlético CP	0:1
24.08.25	Atlético CP - Caldas	2:0
19.01.25	Caldas - Atlético CP	1:1
06.10.24	Atlético CP - Caldas	4:0
05.11.23	Atlético CP - Caldas	0:2

Atlético CP - Caldas