Match Info

Liga 3 - Round 5

Date: 13 September 2026, Sunday

Location: Campo da Mata (Caldas da Rainha)

Where to Watch on TV:


Portugal	Canal 11
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Caldas		Vitória de Sernache

	1	X	2
	2.00	3.10	3.30
	2.02	3	3.35
	2.08	3.1	3.66
	2.1	3.14	3.64	Watch
	2.03	3	3.55
	2.05	3.08	3.46
	2.04	3	3.35
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.05 ↑ (1.8)	3.06 ↓ (3.3)	3.47 ↓ (3.9)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Caldas
44.3%

Draw
29.6%

Vitória de Sernache
26.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.8%

27.2%

23%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Caldas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Caldas's form might have worsened.

Vitória de Sernache has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)

Caldas - Vitória de Sernache Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Almeida D. (G) 90. Alexandre R. 9. Chaves G. (C) 5. Correia R. 17. Goncas 6. Izata D. 20. Lourenco G. 3. Nando 80. Palmerio M. 77. Pio G. 22. Serrazina T.	1. Joao Lucas (G) 10. Dias A. 6. Embalo R. 16. Garcia F. 14. Henrique B. 9. Henrique Cavalcante 17. Marques T. 4. Matheus Matias 19. Moura E. (C) 7. Patricio A. 3. Tavares D.
Substitutes
8. Clemente D. 16. Costa M. 25. Farinha L. 11. Fernandes D. 21. Mucuana Lobo E. J. 7. Ricky 23. Rodeia M. 1. Soares W. (G) 94. Vieira J.	20. Barge G. 18. Dudu 12. Fachadas L. (G) 5. Goncalves Rosario M. M. 13. Graca H. 15. Lucas Daniel 11. Muriel J. 2. Paulinho 8. Santos M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
13', Henrique B. 🟨,
45+1', Correia R. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
50', Palmerio M. 🟨,
59', Pio G. ↓, Mucuana Lobo E. J. ↑,
59', Alexandre R. ↓, Ricky ↑,
69', Goncas ↓, Fernandes D. ↑,
69', Correia R. ↓, Clemente D. ↑,
69', Embalo R. ↓, Graca H. ↑,
69', Patricio A. ↓, Santos M. ↑,
69', Tavares D. ↓, Goncalves Rosario M. M. ↑,
69', 1 - 0, Chaves G. ⚽,
71', 2 - 0, Chaves G. ⚽,
75', Clemente D. 🟨,
80', Henrique B. ↓, Lucas Daniel ↑,
81', Garcia F. ↓, Paulinho ↑,
83', Izata D. ↓, Rodeia M. ↑,
90+1', Henrique Cavalcante 🟨,

Preview

In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 8 in the zone Liga 3 (Relegation Group: ) and 10 in the zone Liga 3 (Relegation Group: )).

Caldas has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Sernache may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Caldas could have a small edge in this match.

Recently, the teams have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SC Caldas
Portuguese Liga 3
04.09.26	União de Santarém - Caldas	0:1 ✺
Taça de Portugal
30.08.26	Caldas - Sintrense	1:3 ✺
Portuguese Liga 3
16.08.26	Caldas - Lusitano GC	0:0 ✺
08.08.26	Belenenses - Caldas	1:0 ✺
Club Friendly
01.08.26	Caldas - Académica Coimbra	3:2 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.1 WLTLW
- Vitória de Sernache
Portuguese Liga 3
06.09.26	Vitória de Sernache - Belenenses	1:3 ✺
Taça de Portugal
30.08.26	Nazarenos - Vitória de Sernache	0:3 ✺
Portuguese Liga 3
16.08.26	Vitória de Sernache - Covilhã	0:0 ✺
Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
10.06.26	Leça - Vitória de Sernache	2:1 penalties ✺
31.05.26	Vitória de Sernache - Louletano	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 LWTLT

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