Match Info

BRAZIL: Serie D - Round 12

Date: 7 July 2024, Sunday

Location: Domingão (Horizonte)


	Atlético Cearense		Iguatu

	1	X	2
	2.75	2.95	2.35
	2.75	3	2.5
	2.81	2.83	2.44
	2.83	2.93	2.54	Watch
	2.72	3.02	2.46
	2.75	3	2.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.77 ↓ (3.34)	2.96 ↓ (3)	2.47 ↑ (2.12)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Atlético Cearense
32.7%

Draw
30.6%

Iguatu
36.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.1%

30.2%

42.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.9%

30.4%

43%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Atlético Cearense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Atlético Cearense's performance.

Iguatu has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Iguatu might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético Cearense than the current prediction. (-5.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Atlético Cearense that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Iguatu than the current prediction. (+6.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Iguatu could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Atlético Cearense - Iguatu Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
66', 0 - 1, Pedrinho ⚽,
89', 🟥,
90', 🟥,

Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day's play. In the match war can see two teams from the top of the table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D (Play Offs: 1/16~finals) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Atlético Cearense won 0.

Instantly two teams are in a excellent shape.

Iguatu could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Iguatu will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Atlético Cearense won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 6-13.

Including matches at home between the teams Atlético Cearense won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 6-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Atlético Cearense
Brazilian Serie D
03.07.24	Maracanã - Atlético Cearense	0:0 ✺
20.06.24	Treze - Atlético Cearense	1:1 ✺
16.06.24	Atlético Cearense - Sousa	2:0 ✺
12.06.24	Santa Cruz de Natal - Atlético Cearense	1:2 ✺
08.06.24	Atlético Cearense - Santa Cruz de Natal	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 31.2 TTWWW
- AD Iguatu
Brazilian Serie D
02.07.24	Iguatu - Treze	1:0 ✺
27.06.24	Iguatu - Maracanã	2:0 ✺
16.06.24	Potiguar - Iguatu	0:0 ✺
12.06.24	Iguatu - América RN	1:0 ✺
08.06.24	América RN - Iguatu	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 WWTWL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie D
11.05.24	Iguatu - Atlético Cearense	1:0
Brazilian Campeonato Cearense
21.01.24	Iguatu - Atlético Cearense	2:0
25.02.23	Iguatu - Atlético Cearense	1:0
12.02.23	Atlético Cearense - Iguatu	1:2
08.02.22	Atlético Cearense - Iguatu	0:2
18.01.22	Iguatu - Atlético Cearense	4:0
23.01.19	Atlético Cearense - Iguatu	5:1

Atlético Cearense - Iguatu: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide