Match Info

BRAZIL: Serie D - Round 11

Date: 2 July 2024, Tuesday

Location: Estadio Antonio Moreno de Mello (Iguatu)


	Iguatu		Treze

	1	X	2
	2.45	2.9	2.7
	2.5	2.95	2.8
	2.52	2.98	2.91
	2.59	2.82	2.88
	2.38	3	2.7
	2.4	3.04	2.77
	2.5	2.95	2.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.48 ↓ (2.7)	2.95 ↓ (3.1)	2.79 ↑ (2.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Iguatu
36.7%

Draw
30.8%

Treze
32.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.4%

29.1%

37.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.3%

31.1%

40.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Iguatu has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)

Treze has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Treze might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Iguatu than the current prediction. (-5.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Iguatu that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Treze than the current prediction. (+7.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Treze could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Iguatu - Treze Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
16', 1 - 0, Otacilio Marcos ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
57', Jefferson Souza 🟥,

Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day's play. In the match war can see two teams from the top of the table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D (Play Offs: 1/16~finals) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)).

Iguatu is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Treze is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Iguatu could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Iguatu won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Iguatu won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AD Iguatu
Brazilian Serie D
27.06.24	Iguatu - Maracanã	2:0 ✺
16.06.24	Potiguar - Iguatu	0:0 ✺
12.06.24	Iguatu - América RN	1:0 ✺
08.06.24	América RN - Iguatu	1:0 ✺
31.05.24	Iguatu - Potiguar	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 WTWLW
- Treze FC
Brazilian Serie D
20.06.24	Treze - Atlético Cearense	1:1 ✺
16.06.24	América RN - Treze	1:1 ✺
13.06.24	Treze - Potiguar	2:0 ✺
09.06.24	Potiguar - Treze	0:3 ✺
01.06.24	Treze - América RN	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 TTWWT

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie D
19.05.24	Treze - Iguatu	3:0

Iguatu - Treze: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide