Match Info

BRAZIL: Serie D - Round 1

Date: 27 April 2024, Saturday

Location: Domingão (Horizonte)


	Atlético Cearense		Potiguar

	1	X	2
	3.1	2.8	2.25
	3.24	2.78	2.29
	3.24	2.78	2.29
	3.41	3.1	2.15
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.25 ↑ (2.46)	2.87 ↓ (3.31)	2.25 ↓ (2.69)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Atlético Cearense
27.9%

Draw
31.7%

Potiguar
40.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.6%

28%

34.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.9%

28.2%

34.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Atlético Cearense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Atlético Cearense's form might have worsened.

Potiguar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Potiguar's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Cearense than the current prediction. (+10%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Atlético Cearense, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Potiguar than the current prediction. (-6.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Potiguar, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
14', 1 - 0, Xavier A. ⚽,
45', 1 - 1, Sampaio ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
90+4', 1 - 2, ⚽,

Preview

Recent matches Atlético Cearense is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Potiguar is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Atlético Cearense
Brazilian Campeonato Cearense
15.03.24	Caucaia - Atlético Cearense	0:1 ✺
12.03.24	Atlético Cearense - Horizonte	0:1 ✺
08.03.24	Barbalha - Atlético Cearense	2:0 ✺
03.03.24	Atlético Cearense - Barbalha	3:2 ✺
29.02.24	Horizonte - Atlético Cearense	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.2 WLLWL
- ACD Potiguar
Brazilian Campeonato Potiguar
07.04.24	Potiguar - América RN	1:3 ✺
03.04.24	América RN - Potiguar	1:1 ✺
30.03.24	Potiguar - Potyguar Seridoense	2:0 ✺
16.03.24	Potiguar - Globo FC	1:0 ✺
09.03.24	Santa Cruz de Natal - Potiguar	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.3 LTWWW

Atlético Cearense - Potiguar: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide